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bluewater

bluewater's Journal
bluewater's Journal
July 17, 2019

Kamala Harris overtakes Joe Biden in new poll of California voters

Following her performance in the first Democratic presidential debate, California Sen. Kamala Harris has overtaken former Vice President Joe Biden, according to a Quinnipiac University survey of California Democratic voters.
The poll released Wednesday shows Harris with a lead of 2 percentage points — her first lead in a major public opinion poll of California voters. Harris got support from 23 percent of respondents, while Biden got 21 percent.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ matched the 18 percent he received in an April poll from Quinnipiac, while Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren jumped dramatically from 7 percent to 16 percent over that same period. Biden previously polled at 26 percent, while Harris ranked third at 17 percent.

Tim Malloy, assistant director of the poll, said Harris’s debate performance is what has placed her at the top of the crowded field of 25 candidates.

“Rewind it and take a hard look at the debate: Kamala Harris went from a well-known candidate in California to a national figure,” Malloy said. “Elizabeth Warren has been moving along incrementally, but Kamala Harris hit it out of the park in that debate and Joe Biden hit a single. When a local figure does that well in front of the big spotlight on a national stage, it may fortify people’s positive feelings about her.”

https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article232752097.html

July 17, 2019

Latest YouGov Poll Jul14-16

Jul 14-16, 2019 572 responders
538 B rated : YouGov poll

Biden..... 21% last week, 23% this week
Warren... 18% last week, 15% this week
Sanders.. 10% last week, 13% this week
Harris..... 13% last week, 10% this week
Buttigieg.. 9% last week, 7% this week

Biden lead +3 last week, +8 this week

Margin of Error: +/-3% for registered voters

https://today.yougov.com/(popup:search/democratic%20primary)

Disclaimer: This is an early poll. No single poll result, especially this early, should be over emphasized.

Movement in this poll is in the 2-3% range from last week, which is within the margin of error.
Another poll showing another essentially unchanged week, are voters in a holding pattern until the next debate?

July 17, 2019

Harris, Warren surge in new California poll

The latest Quinnipiac California poll shows Harris leading among 2020 presidential hopefuls, with 23 percent of California Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters now behind her — surging six points since the last Quinnipiac survey in April. Biden, at 21 percent, has lost five points in that same period.

Closely following are Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, who has remained static at 18 percent, and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, now at 16 percent, more than doubling her 7 percent standing in April.

The top tier of 2020 hopefuls is followed in the current poll by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 3 percent and entrepreneur Andrew Yang at 2 percent. Four Democratic candidates track at 1 percent, with the remainder all polling less than one percent, the poll showed.
On the issue of electability, Biden is the overwhelming favorite, with 45 percent saying that the former VP has the best chance of beating President Donald Trump, compared to just 12 percent for Sanders, 11 percent for Harris and 8 percent for Warren.
Twenty-six percent of California Democrats also say Biden would be the best leader, compared to 18 percent for Harris, 17 percent for Sanders and 14 percent for Warren.

But Harris leads the pack in the excitement factor — with 68 percent of California Democrats saying they would be most excited by her nomination, followed by 65 percent for Warren, 58 percent for Biden and 55 percent for Sanders as the standard-bearer.
Twenty-eight percent say Warren has the best policy ideas, with 20 percent for Sanders, 11 percent for Biden and 9 percent for Harris.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/harris-warren-surge-in-new-california-poll/ar-AAEsoeV

Disclaimer: This is an early poll. No single poll result, especially this early, should be over emphasized.

Notice that 45% thought Biden was "most electable", yet only 21% actually preferred him as the nominee. The only way THAT makes any sense is that the responders also feel other candidates can also defeat Trump.
July 16, 2019

Biden DESTROYS the field in Missouri Poll

Jul 10-11, 2019
538 C rated: Remington Research Group

Biden...…. 43%
Warren..... 15%
Harris....... 13%
Buttigieg... 5%
Sanders.... 4%
O'Rourke.. 1%

Biden lead a staggering +28.

Disclaimer: This is an early poll. No single poll result, especially this early, should be over emphasized.

Biden Campaign, this beer is for YOU! Enjoy the poll.



July 15, 2019

Harris rises into 2nd place in new poll of NH primary voters

Kamala Harris rises into second place in new Saint Anselm College poll of NH primary voters

Sen. Kamala Harris has moved into second place among Democratic presidential contenders, while Sen. Bernie Sanders has dropped into fifth place, in the latest New Hampshire primary poll conducted by Saint Anselm College.

Harris, apparently still resonating with voters following her debate performance more than two weeks ago, is backed by by 17.5 percent of likely Democratic first-in-the-nation primary voters. That support puts her just more than 3 percentage points behind former Vice President Joe Biden, who received 20.8 percent.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren is a close third, at 16.7 percent, less than a percentage point behind Harris. Sanders registered 9.9 percent, behind Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who is fourth in the poll with 11.5 percent.
Former U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, after registering at 6.4 percent in a Saint Anselm College poll in April, received zero percent support in the new poll.

The Saint Anselm College Survey Center said it polled 351 registered voters expressing an intention to vote in the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary between July 10 and 12. The survey center said the poll was conducted via landline and cellular telephone calls.

The poll’s margin of error is 5.2 percent, which means that the top three candidates -- Biden, Harris and Warren – are in a statistical tie.

https://www.wmur.com/article/kamala-harris-rises-into-second-place-in-new-saint-anselm-college-poll-of-nh-primary-voters/28401473

July 15, 2019

Biden support slips below 30% in new poll

Former Vice President Joe Biden's support in the latest Hill-HarrisX poll of Democratic voters has fallen below 30 percent, his lowest mark in the survey so far.

The poll, released on Monday, found that 29 percent of likely Democratic primary voters support Biden as their first choice for president, while 16 percent back Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).

This marks a 4-point drop for Biden from an identical poll conducted two weeks ago and immediately following the first 2020 Democratic debates. It also represents a 17-point drop from when same poll was first conducted in May, a month after Biden formally launched his campaign bid.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) retained their spots, with Harris getting 11 percent and Warren trailing close behind at 9 percent.
South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who ranked as high as third place at one earlier poll, slipped to sixth place, garnering just 1 percent of support.

Former Texas Congressman Beto O'Rourke, who has been lagging in national polls over the last few months, notched up 2 points to 3 percent. A large number of respondents, 17 percent, were undecided.

The poll can be viewed as another setback for Biden, whose campaign has been grappling with attacks on his civil rights record in recent weeks.

https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/453142-biden-slips-below-30-percent-among-2020-democrats

July 15, 2019

Trump complains of 'fake polls'

Trump complains of 'fake polls' after surveys show him trailing multiple Democratic candidates

President Trump on Monday sought to cast doubt on a spate of recent polls that show him trailing Democratic White House hopefuls.

The president decried what he called "Fake Polls," likening them to surveys during the 2016 election that showed then-Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leading Trump.

He also accused various news outlets of intentionally getting the projections wrong.
"They will never learn!" he tweeted.

A variety of surveys released in the last five weeks all showed the president losing to a handful of Democratic contenders in hypothetical 2020 match-ups.


An NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, released Sunday, showed former Vice President Joe Biden Trump by 9 points among registered voters, 51 to 42 percent. The poll also found Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) with a 7-point lead over the president, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) ahead of Trump by 5 points and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) with a 1-point advantage.

A Fox News poll released last month showed Biden with a 10-point lead, Sanders with a 9-point lead, Warren with a 2-point lead and Harris and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg with 1-point leads.
And a Washington Post-ABC News poll released in early June

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-complains-of-fake-polls-after-surveys-show-him-trailing-multiple-democratic-candidates/ar-AAEmkGF

July 15, 2019

Warren fans say: She's upending expectations

She’s upending expectations’: Warren fans say her appeal is about more than liberal policies

Joanna Berens freely admits that she once doubted if an academic like Elizabeth Warren could win the presidency.
That was before she watched one of the senator’s televised town halls.

“She doesn’t just have some sound bites,” said Berens, a 57-year-old event planner, marveling at what she remembers seeing minutes before she was set to see Warren in person at another town hall in Miami recently. “She’s listening. She’s engaging. She hears what they’re saying, and offers thoughtful comments.”

Now, Berens isn’t just convinced Warren would make a strong general election nominee — she’s thrilled about the prospect of her confronting President Donald Trump on the debate stage.

“Oh my god,” she said. “She will flatten him.”

Warren’s summer-long rise in polls and fundraising success in the Democratic presidential primary is usually attributed to her detailed policy agenda or longstanding appeal to liberal diehards.

But Warren supporters and other friendly Democrats cite another reason for her ascent: Voters who expected to see an awkward policy wonk on the campaign trail are instead impressed by a candidate they describe as authentic and charismatic.
That shift has marked a key development in a primary where many Democratic voters say they are most interested in a candidate who can defeat Trump next fall. And it speaks to Warren’s ability to reach beyond her natural base of progressive activists, connecting with voters who might be more ideologically moderate but nonetheless drawn to her.

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/article232668307.html

July 14, 2019

Trump under fire for racially-charged tweets against congresswomen

Trump under fire for racially-charged tweets against congresswomen

He claimed the women "originally came from countries whose governments are a complete and total catastrophe", before suggesting they "go back".

He then said Speaker Nancy Pelosi "would be very happy to quickly work out free travel arrangements".

Ms Omar told the president that he was "stoking white nationalism because you are angry that people like us are serving in Congress and fighting against your hate-filled agenda".

She also called him "the worst, most corrupt and inept president we have ever seen".
And Ms Pressley shared a screenshot of Mr Trump's tweet, adding: "THIS is what racism looks like. WE are what democracy looks like."

Democrats running for the presidential nomination also condemned Mr Trump. Senator Elizabeth Warren said the "vile comment" was a "racist and xenophobic attack". Beto O'Rourke said : "This is racist. These congresswomen are every bit as American as you."
Bernie Sanders also accused Mr Trump of racism.


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-48982172

July 14, 2019

Trump Blasted Over Racist Tweets Targeting Congresswomen of Color

Trump Blasted Over Racist Tweets Targeting Congresswomen of Color While ‘Fox & Friends’ Laughs: ‘Very Comedic’

Moments after President Trump took to Twitter to tell Democratic congresswomen of color to “go back” to where “they came” from, the hosts of his favorite cable news morning program laughed while reading the president’s racist comments, calling them “very comedic” before claiming Trump was “making an important point.”

Other journalists and politicians, however, slammed the president for essentially telling a black woman to go back to Africa.
[snip]

“When I call the president a racist, this is what I’m talking about,” Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders said. “We must stand together for justice and dignity towards all.”

https://www.thedailybeast.com/trump-blasted-over-racist-tweets-targeting-congresswomen-of-color-while-fox-and-friends-laughs-very-comedic

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