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bluewater

bluewater's Journal
bluewater's Journal
January 4, 2020

Bloomberg rises to third place alongside Warren in national poll

Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg saw a 6-point bump in the latest Hill-HarrisX survey of the Democratic presidential primary.



The nationwide poll, which was released Friday, shows Bloomberg up from 5 percent to 11 percent support for the nomination nationally. The former New York City mayor is now in a dead heat for third place with top-tier candidate, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who also received 11 percent support.

Biden, meanwhile, continues to lead the Democratic field with 28 percent followed by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) at 16 percent.
Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg saw another slight dip, after slipping 4 percentage points in mid-December. In the latest survey, he now has 6 percent support, down from 5 percent from the Dec. 13-14 poll.

Bloomberg’s rise in the latest Hill-HarrisX survey comes in spite of his late entry into the 2020 race and the fact that he hasn’t appeared in any of the Democratic primary debates.

Bloomberg has chosen an unorthodox campaign strategy, making the decision not to raise money and instead deciding to fund his own campaign. This has disqualified him from taking the debate stage under rules from the Democratic National Convention.
Under DNC rules, candidates must reach certain polling and fundraising thresholds.

However, prior to announcing his bid in November, Bloomberg launched an ad buy totaling roughly $19.4 million over 90 local markets across the country. After making his campaign official, he also rolled out a 60-second spot as part of his $31.5 million media blitz.
Bloomberg's multimillion-dollar ad expenditure has made him a prime target for his fellow rivals.

https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/476689-bloomberg-rises-to-third-place-alongside-warren-in-national-poll

Hey, I TOLD you all that Michael Bloomberg was going to buy his way into being our 2020 Democratic Nominee.



Yes, I am a political genius, thank you very much.

Side Note: Air continues to escape from the Mayor Pete Buttigieg campaign as he drops further down in the polls. Seems Senator Amy Klobuchar's criticism of him lacking experience from the last debate has left a mark. Yes, I realize other candidates have dropped also, but Mayor Pete is now essentially a third tier candidate, trailing Front runner Biden and second tier candidates Sanders, Warren, and (in this poll at least) Bloomberg.

This poll aside, all three poll trackers show this trend:


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/national/

https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html



January 3, 2020

Misogyny in ACTION! Media once again hates on women candidates.

Want a clear cut example of the misogyny Elizabeth Warren and Amy Klobuchar face from the media this primary season?

Consider this story from the Houston Chronicle:



Forget for a moment that Warren did have a dip in fundraising mid 4th quarter but closed with a surge to almost catch Biden and Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar just had her BEST fundraising quarter and is on the upswing closing in on Mayor Pete Buttigieg in the polls.

And how does the media frame these changing dynamics? By accentuating that both women "trail" their male rivals.

Forget that EVERYONE is trailing Bernie Sanders by almost $10 MILLION dollars when it comes to 4th quarter fundraising, lets just single out the women candidates. Right.

What is even more galling, is that Andrew Yang is highlighted for having his best quarter of fundraising, a nice $16 million, but he's not singled out as "trailing" his main rivals even though he raised less than Warren!


Can you say misogyny, boys and girls? I think you can.

January 3, 2020

Warren on upswing in close New Hampshire polling!

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/new-hampshire/

Once again, polls show Elizabeth Warren on the upswing as her chief critic Mayor Pete Buttigieg declines in the latest polls.

It's nice to see this after the media onslaught over her health care plans fueled by Mayor Pete Buttigieg's criticism. Warren, and Amy Klobuchar, have been held to a much stricter standard than their male counterparts by the media. As Amy Klobuchar said after the last debate, no woman with Mayor Pete's credentials and sparse experience would EVER be taken seriously by the media as a Presidential candidate.

It's enheartening to see misogny can't keep two good women down!




January 3, 2020

Warren up as Buttigieg fades in national polls

Elizabeth Warren's nationally polling numbers have turned around since a mid-quarter decline, as her chief critic Mayor Pete Buttigieg has fallen off considerably.

Biden 26%
Sanders 18%
Warren 16%
Buttigieg 7%


https://projects.economist.com/democratic-primaries-2020/

FYI: Mouse-ing over the Warren trendline shows the latest individual polls that are turning around her numbers. Mouse-ing over the Buttigieg trendline shows his pronounced drop in the individual polls also.


January 3, 2020

Warren back on the rise in Iowa!

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-d/iowa/

The thing that makes Elizabeth Warren great is that she is a resilient! After a decline in her polling mid-quarter, due mostly to her being held to a different standard by the media over her health care plans, her national numbers are moving back up again AND her polling in the early states like Iowa are also on the upswing!

Warren, along with Amy Klobuchar, has been held to a higher, more stringent standard than their male counterparts in the press, so it's enheartening to see both women overcoming that bias as we head into Iowa and Super Tuesday!

January 3, 2020

Roger Lau: Warren has BEST fundraising day to date!

A few days before Tuesday's quarterly FEC fundraising report, we leveled with you.

We shared that we were still a good chunk behind our third quarter fundraising and set a goal of $20 million goal by December 31, which was what we'd need to raise to keep our plans on track.

Well today, I'm excited to share some great news with you. Thanks to supporters like you who stepped up and chipped in, we beat our goal and raised more than $21.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2019. And we saw a strong surge of support at the end — over $1.5 million came in on the last day of the year alone, our best fundraising day to date.

Team Warren is ready to dream big, fight hard, and win. Thank you, thank you, thank you.


I'll dig deeper into the numbers in just a sec, but first, I've got a quick and important plug. We hit our goal for 2019, but it's 2020 now, and we've got new, must-hit daily targets. Money we raise every day in January will get sent straight into connecting with voters and caucus-goers, and the first votes are just a few weeks away.

We can't slow down. Please make another contribution if you can right now to keep fighting by Elizabeth's side.


[ Roger Lau is the campaign manager for U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren's (D-Mass.) 2020 presidential campaign. Lau was the political director for Warren's 2012 Senate campaign, state director in her Senate office from 2013 until 2018, and campaign manager for her 2018 Senate campaign.]

Great job by Team Warren! My heart leapt when I read this email from Roger Lau!

This fund raising surge from small donors along with her resurgence in the latest polls shows Elizabeth Warren is ready to fight for all of us and for the changes we all need as average middle class people trying to get by in an economy rigged to pamper the richest 1%.

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