judeling
judeling's JournalIt is not Kornacki or King it is the software
The mail-in early vote shift has caught them all off guard. They may have thought they had it covered but they are really not geared towards type of data that is incoming and the type of questions that comes out of that.
What they should do is get some wall street data types like Hawkfish to take a look at the system.
Trump will Not claim Victory Tuesday
The narrative from the Trump campaign is much more likely to be "they counted the Democrats first".
First the big Red States are just closer then the big Blue States. With Rural counties likely to report later and the Trump absentee vote tracking later then the Biden vote, there will be more outstanding Trump votes when the first votes are announced in Red States. The longer North Carolina, Ohio, and Florida remain in play the harder it will be for Trump. Because of the way they count Trump is likely to be seen as catching up in all three as the early voting is tinged Blue. The longer those remain in play the more early vote elsewhere will be counted. This brings us to the next point.
The Red Mirage requires Trump to have a huge day of turnout and that to swamp any possible open counts. The biggest problem with that is in those late counting states the the State Government is Democratically controlled and/or the biggest pool of voters are and they will be moving heaven and earth to minimize both the difference and the narrative.You can bet for example that Harris county Texas will push the button as the polls close and dump the early vote into the narrative, as will Philly and Detroit will with as far as they have gotten.
Lastly FOX wont play along. Their long term business model depends on them remaining within shouting distance of reality. The news division is in charge of the calls and while they may talk about Trumps paths and hold out hope they wont make any premature calls. It will be at least a lot of wait and see.
Please someone ask Trump about Military votes
There is a whole section of election law about that.
Testing in China
China has rolled out mass coronavirus testing for nearly five million people and imposed lockdown measures in one part of the country after a single asymptomatic coronavirus case was reported on Saturday.
The asymptomatic case was found in Kashgar, in the far western region of Xinjiang.
The testing drive has so far identified 137 additional cases - and all are asymptomatic, according to Xinjiang’s regional health commission.
This is the highest daily number of asymptomatic COVID-19 cases reported in China in nearly seven months.
As of Sunday afternoon, some 2.8 million people had been tested.
The government expected to finish testing all of Kashgar’s 4.7 million population on Tuesday.
I prefer New Zealand's approach. What they both have is a coordinated and massive quick response.
Today's Song association AOC and BTO
After seeing her with Trapper this morning this just couldn't get out of my head.
I don't always agree with her, but she makes me sure the future is going to be OK.
Was Trump a 10cc fan?
But lacking irony never understood them?
Plenty more life lessons from 10cc if you don't understand irony.
Minnesota 1.7 Mil requested 911,000 returned and accepted so far
As Minnesota moves to its weekend and weekday expanded early voting hours this weekend, already half of all requested absentee ballots have been returned and accepted. That works out to a quarter of all eligible voters.
[link:https://www.sos.state.mn.us/election-administration-campaigns/data-maps/absentee-data/#|
For reference 2016 had 677,000 total.
This is how you really skew the polls.
Chuck Todd you F'd up but you can save yourself
Yes you totally pissed off most of your colleges and yes you have probably greatly damaged your access to the next administration. You are really not the person who has shown you can handle the total alternate reality that Trump will spew. So really you have exactly one chance to save what little reputation you had before this debacle. Your first question that you can prepare for.
It cannot be your normal BS, you are nowhere as good at it as you think you are. It has to be something totally outside of what is expected and it needs to be about his favorite thing himself. At the same time it needs to be something he is wholly incapable of answering. It has to be medical.
You could actually do a great service to the nation if you ask it in the right way. Acknowledge his recovery, praise the doctors and treatment, highlight the experimental antibody treatment the Remdesiver and steroids, and then ask the questions.
There are two key parts, First do you know if you are producing enough antibodies or are the artificial ones you gained still at work and since at least some if not most of those who have been reinfected seem to have been hit harder the second time are you worried?
I know this is a have you stopped beating your wife and that that question is really a gross simplification of the real science, but that doesn't matter, it will be the news no matter what he responds you will allow the real experts to get a chance to cut through.
You cannot really save your reputation, but you will have a bunch of Trump fans watching and you just may be able to save some lives because this will probably the first time they will have ventured outside of their bubble where the mere fact that anyone can get it again will be enough of a shock that some may just try and get some real information.
That is of course just as true of Trump and that just may change the dynamic in interesting ways.
Chris Wallace pitches batting pratice to Amy
Chris Wallace has clearly had enough. Along with a growing part of at least the "news" side of FOX enough after 4 years is enough. (I imagine management is also looking for the exit.)
Any rate, Biden sent Senator Klobuchar out and of course her job was FOX. Mr. Wallace decided to pitch it as if it was the home-run derby and put the questions right where Amy was sure to hit them.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1312755737052012545
Here is a link to The Hill's write up although you need to see the whole thing to see just how pissed Wallace is.
musical review of the past week as seen from the GOP
Barrett intro
Hicks news
Trump to Walter Reed
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