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Gothmog

(156,267 posts)

24. Presidential Race Remains a Toss Up

Thu Dec 19, 2019, 03:05 PM

Dec 2019

The only thing that matters is defeating trump and if we go too far left, then trump will win. I reject the concept that trump is so weak that we can nominate any candidate and still beat trump. According to Larry Sabato, the 2020 race is a toss up https://politicalwire.com/2019/12/19/presidential-race-remains-a-toss-up/

“Our initial ratings had 248 electoral votes at least leaning to the Republican nominee (Trump, almost certainly), 244 electoral votes at least leaning to the Democratic nominee, and 46 Toss-ups. Since then, we’ve made only one significant change, pushing Hillary Clinton’s most narrow 2016 victory, New Hampshire, from Toss-up to Leans Democratic, leaving a 248-248 split with just 42 electoral votes’ worth of Toss Ups (Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Nebraska’s Second Congressional District).”

“The 2020 race still looks like a 50-50 proposition to us.”

The consensus Electoral Vote Map is a bit more fluid with Democrats at 238 electoral votes, Republicans at 198 and Toss Ups at 108.

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Why Trump's path to reelection is totally plausible [View all] Gothmog Dec 2019 OP

Who believes that it is a slam dunk exboyfil Dec 2019 #1

Some of the supporters of the far left candidates Gothmog Dec 2019 #3

I don't think that's a fair assessment at all. Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2019 #28

I really think that a far left candidate would help trump win and kill downballot candidates Gothmog Dec 2019 #34

The biggest voting block right now is Gen X and younger. Millennials and Gen Z are a HUGE block. Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2019 #35

Washington Post-Opinion: If the economy keeps its momentum, 2020 will be Trump's to lose Gothmog Dec 2019 #2

This is from May Fiendish Thingy Dec 2019 #26

is the economy really strong.... TrunKated Dec 2019 #4

Here's to hoping we have a plan that we don't " have to hope Trump crashes the economy " California_Republic Dec 2019 #5

Two words: Chipper Chat Dec 2019 #6

Yup Freddie Dec 2019 #10

I live in Indiana Chipper Chat Dec 2019 #20

So we need a better strategy than not going to WI at all before the election. Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2019 #29

It is foolish to assume anything about 2020 - when the other party is wholly owned and operated by dalton99a Dec 2019 #7

U.S. economy shakes free of recession fears in striking turnaround since August Gothmog Dec 2019 #8

If the economy takes a dump in the next 6 months, louis-t Dec 2019 #9

of course he can edhopper Dec 2019 #11

Dubya had higher approval ratings than Trump Downtown Hound Dec 2019 #12

Thanks for not forgetting the existence Bettie Dec 2019 #13

He could win with 46% of the popular vote, that's about what he got the doc03 Dec 2019 #14

I never said he couldn't win. Downtown Hound Dec 2019 #16

I hope so nt doc03 Dec 2019 #21

I don't think he'll 'easily' win...even with the cheating. His numbers are lower than Carter and UniteFightBack Dec 2019 #15

They both had 3rd party candidates siphoning off votes. sweetloukillbot Dec 2019 #33

As long as the economy stays good he will be reelected. Desert grandma Dec 2019 #17

I'm not buying it. We should easily defeat him. Joe941 Dec 2019 #18

President Trump's Re-Election Odds Actually IMPROVED After Being Impeached Gothmog Dec 2019 #25

I've heard that before. Cuthbert Allgood Dec 2019 #30

Simply make sure Russia doesnt change the votes and we are fine, agreed? Joe941 Dec 2019 #32

Another viewpoint Proud Liberal Dem Dec 2019 #19

I do not want a recession but a slowdown in red states could help Gothmog Dec 2019 #22

I don't want one either Proud Liberal Dem Dec 2019 #23

Presidential Race Remains a Toss Up Gothmog Dec 2019 #24

I still think he stays in office and gets re-elected* KentuckyWoman Dec 2019 #27

If a recession if the only hope... tman Dec 2019 #31