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Amishman

(5,557 posts)

21. I wouldn't sweat it. AZ did this in 2018 with the senate race and we had to come from behind there

Reply to StarryNite (Reply #18)

Wed Nov 4, 2020, 12:22 PM

Nov 2020

Those outstanding ballots are likely to be bluer than a little kitten's eyes - drop off ballots from blue counties.

In 2018 for the senate we were actually behind by quite a bit by the counts the day after. Same reporting 95++% of the vote in too.

Then the news broke that there were a lot more ballots - mail ins and drop offs in... you guessed it, Maricopa and Pima. We ended up catching up and even winning comfortably.

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26 replies

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Can't figure why the NYT isn't calling Arizona [View all] Hokie Nov 2020 OP

Go to keep those people clicking on stories. Miguelito Loveless Nov 2020 #1

I've seen comments elsewhere that there was an error in reporting BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #2

Correct. There's a disclaimer about it on their map. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #6

Agree Johnny2X2X Nov 2020 #3

There's a disclaimer for AZ. TwilightZone Nov 2020 #4

Oh, that's the story. Thank you. Mike 03 Nov 2020 #9

AP called it around 3am.. Rice4VP Nov 2020 #5

That doesn't really matter, though, if an error was made. BusyBeingBest Nov 2020 #8

I don't either. NYT is showing greater than 98% reporting. Mike 03 Nov 2020 #7

There's a disclaimer. The actual estimate is 86% TwilightZone Nov 2020 #11

AP called it mcar Nov 2020 #10

Long a deep-red state, Arizona flips to Biden for first Democratic win in 24 years Cha Nov 2020 #12

Another site has a lower reported percentage with the same vote number information. David__77 Nov 2020 #13

There is still 250,000-400,000 votes per Arizona...long way still HiltonHeadDem Nov 2020 #14

MSNBC has it at 86% Hokie Nov 2020 #15

Not actually 98% MissB Nov 2020 #16

The NYT updated the figure to 86% Hokie Nov 2020 #17

Yeah remaining vote looks fairly good for Biden. NT Happy Hoosier Nov 2020 #20

Maricopa is the keystone to watch. Tommymac Nov 2020 #22

Over 300,000 early ballots dropped off at the poles yesterday still not counted StarryNite Nov 2020 #18

I wouldn't sweat it. AZ did this in 2018 with the senate race and we had to come from behind there Amishman Nov 2020 #21

I remember following that election closely Hokie Nov 2020 #23

Ratings uponit7771 Nov 2020 #19

Because the Govenor has been calling Trump and saying that he thinks that things can change Autumn Nov 2020 #24

This is extremely disturbing wackadoo wabbit Nov 2020 #25

Mail ballots are very popular with the GOP there LeftInTX Nov 2020 #26