If she were the Dem nominee she would likely easily beat the Repub nominee. But the real 'game' is within the Dem primary and that is where she will face heavy hitters from the anti-Cuomo left, but without any appeal to PoC like he has. Thus, I see the left winning the nomination. The left of course often overestimates their appeal to general election voters, especially if they put up someone with similar policies to de Blasio, who is widely unpopular. In such a scenario the Repubs could win if they put up a moderate with at least some appeal to PoC.