General Discussion

brooklynite

(96,882 posts)

38. No. I'm a retired transportation planner.

Sat Mar 2, 2024, 04:29 PM

Mar 2024

But I work in politics with a lot of actual Democratic campaigns and officials, up to and including the Biden campaign team. And they still rely on polling data to inform their campaign strategy.

I also have a policy of avoiding knee-jerk conspiracy theories that may make bad news feel go down better, but don't provide a good starting point to tweak a political campaign.

I'll ask you the same question I;'ve asked others. If you don't trust this or other polls, what do you believe the actual voter preference numbers are?

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

48 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

About That Poll (NY Times) [View all] brooklynite Mar 2024 OP

In context, it does make sense. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #1

I hope Democrats are NOT taking up this bet without actually putting up LOTs of work riversedge Mar 2024 #2

The race was always going to be close. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #10

I just don't get what is so horrible about Biden, especially, in comparison to Trump. RKP5637 Mar 2024 #3

Biden isn't horrible. Tennessee Hillbilly Mar 2024 #17

Yep, exactly! RKP5637 Mar 2024 #20

People think the state of America right now is horrible. All Mixed Up Mar 2024 #41

Excellent summary! RKP5637 Mar 2024 #48

That explanation of the poll makes sense. David__77 Mar 2024 #4

yes samsingh Mar 2024 #9

More polls ... Charging Triceratops Mar 2024 #5

Thank you. Alliepoo Mar 2024 #6

"Dean Phillips finished fourth in a two man race," LOL! Ocelot II Mar 2024 #7

He's a spoiler so he has plenty of Republican cash to keep trying to spoil. emulatorloo Mar 2024 #26

He doesn't seem to be very good at it, though. Ocelot II Mar 2024 #27

He's horrible at it! emulatorloo Mar 2024 #31

i think a lot more than 3% of trump's supporters have fled. look at the decline in attendance in his rallies samsingh Mar 2024 #8

Rally attendance really isn't indicative of anything. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #11

Unless people are lying, that quote makes it worse not better karynnj Mar 2024 #12

Yeah, that's the part I choked on, too. Gidney N Cloyd Mar 2024 #13

Many people are just not that into politics womanofthehills Mar 2024 #16

Here's why it could be true Polybius Mar 2024 #21

When you start to break polls down like this, the MOE becomes much bigger. All Mixed Up Mar 2024 #42

Good points karynnj Mar 2024 #44

The Times' polls are consistently outliers, to generate clicks and views Fiendish Thingy Mar 2024 #14

Pollsters adjust for oversampling. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #23

Actually it is a huge issue Fiendish Thingy Mar 2024 #25

I'd like to add something to your signature line quote. barbaraann Mar 2024 #32

How are 97% still voting for him edhopper Mar 2024 #15

They know the primaries will be over. former9thward Mar 2024 #18

You're telling us Trump is dropping out? HareKrishna Mar 2024 #29

No. former9thward Mar 2024 #40

Because most of the other 40% were always going to vote for him in November. TwilightZone Mar 2024 #22

if Biden does not win big I will be shocked RANDYWILDMAN Mar 2024 #19

Post removed Post removed Mar 2024 #24

If you have a reason to dislike Political Wire, please share...... brooklynite Mar 2024 #30

10% will now back trmp? spanone Mar 2024 #28

(pssssttt... it's not true.) Think. Again. Mar 2024 #33

I'm just going to say this vercetti2021 Mar 2024 #34

I'm seeing this NYT poll given a lot coverage on a number of sites. sop Mar 2024 #35

Joe and Dump tied with women at 46% d_b Mar 2024 #36

You're always racing to DU to defend these chump-ass polls. Do you make a living from polling sciences? SoFlaBro Mar 2024 #37

No. I'm a retired transportation planner. brooklynite Mar 2024 #38

How do you know that the polls are not just made up? There is ZERO to validate accuracy since there is no election. SoFlaBro Mar 2024 #39

You think someone just created this poll out of whole cloth? TexasDem69 Mar 2024 #43

The poll is flawed videohead5 Mar 2024 #45

I asked what is the method of verification. You know what you can do with your blessing. SoFlaBro Mar 2024 #47

The article in the NYT is definitely flawed and the poll ain't worth much. nt BootinUp Mar 2024 #46