State of the Polls Right Now: Trump Vs. Clinton [View all]
We get quite a few polls here and there posted on this forum but rarely do we get a big picture. I think it would be helpful if we take a look at the averages from the Huffington Post to see where things stand right now.
National Polls: Clinton +4.7
Clinton 44.3%
Trump 39.6%
This gap has been widening between the candidates for the past week or two following trumps bounce from wrapping up the nomination. The closest Trump ever got to Clinton was at Clinton +3 on May 16th. Her lead has since increased by over 50% and is roughly the margin that Obama won by in 2012. Also important to keep in mind that besides a few days in May, Trump's average level of support has always been in the mid to upper 30's. His peak support has been at 43%, which was back in January but the highest it has been since clinching the republican nomination is at 40.8%. Clinton's max support has been at 51.3%, which was all the way back in 2015 but most recently the max has been at 49.8% back in early April.
Electoral Vote:
Clinton 332
Trump 206
Right now the map is actually identical to what we saw as the final result of 2012.
The swing states show the following:
Florida: Clinton +3
New Hampshire: Clinton +3
Ohio: Clinton +4
Pennsylvania: Clinton +4
Virginia: Clinton +3
Wisconsin: Clinton +8
Iowa: Clinton +7
Michigan: Clinton +7
North Carolina: Trump +2
Trump has also claimed he is competitive in typical democratic strong holds, which doesn't appear to be anywhere close to reality.
California:Clinton +18
New York: Clinton +19
But two of the red states that some dems thought might be in play do appear to be close
Arizona: Trump +2
Georgia: Trump +5
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