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Showing Original Post only (View all)Is Europe headed for a civil war? [View all]
I wish the issue would be addressed, or next thing we know, Trump will nuke Europe.
(but thankfully, I think Hillary is poised to win the election)
Why this is becoming a serious issue:
1/ the Paris and Brussels attacked illustrated there are radical ghettos in Europe
for Europes leaders, who now consider themselves at war with the Islamic State after large-scale terrorist attacks at home, the challenge is more complicated: The enemys hide-outs are ghettoized parts of Paris, Brussels and other European cities that amount to mini failed states inside their own borders.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/24/world/europe/a-quandary-for-europe-fighting-a-war-on-isis-within-its-borders.html?_r=0
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/24/world/europe/a-quandary-for-europe-fighting-a-war-on-isis-within-its-borders.html?_r=0
2/ As ISIS is on the verge of being defeated, European radicals will return home
The European countries with the most residents either fighting in Syria or Iraq, planning to go to fight or having returned from the fight are France, with about 1,800 to 1,850; Germany and Britain, each with roughly 750 to 800; and Belgium, with 450,
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/26/us/politics/isis-spreading-in-europe-clapper-warns.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/26/us/politics/isis-spreading-in-europe-clapper-warns.html
3/ those experienced radicals have a larger base of disenfranchised sympathizers
Valls said nearly 15,000 people in France are being tracked because they are suspected of being in the process of radicalization, while 1,350 are under investigation 293 of them for alleged links with a terrorism network.
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/09/11/world/europe/ap-eu-france-plot-arrest.html
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/09/11/world/europe/ap-eu-france-plot-arrest.html
4/ and the strategy of these returning radicals appears to be to drive a wedge between the Muslim population and the rest of society:
According to German newspaper Die Welt, Kepel said the terror groups aim is to incite hatred towards Muslims from the rest of the society which would eventually radicalise others to the point that Europe could enter into full-blown civil war.
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1775496/massive-european-civil-war-predicted-by-scholar-of-islam-who-says-jobless-young-muslims-are-increasingly-turning-to-radical-groups/
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/1775496/massive-european-civil-war-predicted-by-scholar-of-islam-who-says-jobless-young-muslims-are-increasingly-turning-to-radical-groups/
Not sure there's a straightforward American answer to this mess, but it sure will be a major concern in the years to come.
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The premise of the OP is not mine, but that of European homeland security specialists
Albertoo
Sep 2016
#23
But the article was not by Keppel; it was an article in The Sun quoting him
LeftishBrit
Sep 2016
#30
What Kepel said in Die Welt is that terrorists would like to induce hatred of all Muslims
muriel_volestrangler
Sep 2016
#37
The point is that Kepel said the only way it could become a civil war is by demonisation of Muslims
muriel_volestrangler
Sep 2016
#42
I believe that the chance of this leading to a European internal war is extremely low
Victor_c3
Sep 2016
#8
I expect France to begin a purge of Muslims soon like they did of the Roma in 2009-10
Lee-Lee
Sep 2016
#19
Unless it parallels Lebanon where problems grew with the arrival of Palestinian refugees
Albertoo
Sep 2016
#26