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In reply to the discussion: The fact that Ohio has Trump ahead is a big red flag for politicians to stay away from shitty trade [View all]Wounded Bear
(58,662 posts)Last edited Sat Oct 22, 2016, 11:36 PM - Edit history (1)
just because the Repubs never win without it doesn't mean that the Dems can't win without it.
If you look at the Bush campaigns, both of them, they engineered it and bit sliced the demographics so that they came down to the one state that cycle that determined the outcome, FL in '00 and OH in '04. It was a different time, and for all of the rhetoric, the division that exists now is nowhere close to what it was then.
The blue wall, or the Kerry wall, or whatever you want to call it means that Repubs basically need to win every single one of the 'battleground' states to win a general election, and the Dems basically need only a couple of them. That is for this cycle, of course, but the trend has been going this way for a while. Trump has accelerated it.
Would love to win Ohio because I really want to win 478 to 0, but realistically, it doesn't bother me much if it goes red.