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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(108,010 posts)
Wed Apr 8, 2020, 02:10 PM Apr 2020

U.S. coronavirus death projection lowered but official warns of 'second wave' [View all]

Source: Reuters

NEW YORK, April 8 (Reuters) - An influential university model on the U.S. coronavirus pandemic on Wednesday scaled back its projected death toll by 26% to 60,000 but a federal health official warned of a second wave of infections if Americans relax "social distancing" practices.

The downward revision in the death toll in the University of Washington model - often cited by U.S. and state policymakers - coincides with comments by some political leaders that caseloads may have reached a plateau in certain areas.

Those assessments in recent days, including an apparent leveling out in hospitalizations in New York state - the U.S. epicenter of the pandemic - are tempered by a persistent climb in the U.S. death toll, which rose by more than 1,900 on Tuesday as some 30,000 new infections were reported.

New York Mayor Bill De Blasio told a briefing on Wednesday that coronavirus-related hospitalizations in the most populous U.S. city had stabilized and that the need for ventilators was lower than projected.



Read more: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/us-coronavirus-death-projection-lowered-but-official-warns-of-second-wave/ar-BB12ktBL?li=BBnbcA1

33 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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The University of Washington model is ridiculous. Has been ridiculous since it came out. Squinch Apr 2020 #1
What do you consider better then? Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Apr 2020 #3
Check out the link in this post: Squinch Apr 2020 #5
wow! i just compared orleans Apr 2020 #15
the model of trying to please Trump Skittles Apr 2020 #17
Yes. So their assumptions are likely pretty good. Squinch Apr 2020 #21
I like percentages and numbers to be able to compare BigmanPigman Apr 2020 #27
Yet their projections have been fairly consistently on the high side FBaggins Apr 2020 #13
How do you figure? Squinch Apr 2020 #20
My math skills extend to comparing two figures over and over FBaggins Apr 2020 #25
The UW model was lietrally only off by ONE NYS death yesterday obamanut2012 Apr 2020 #30
This is good news. I love NY. saidsimplesimon Apr 2020 #2
My mantra..IT DIDN'T HAVE TO HAPPEN..there is blood on their hands.. asiliveandbreathe Apr 2020 #4
And it's going to be the Christian right who will be largely responsible for a resurgence. Initech Apr 2020 #18
Even a handful of deaths is unacceptable Marthe48 Apr 2020 #6
Yeah the economy can be rebuilt. The lives destroyed cannot. Initech Apr 2020 #16
Friends have relatives who have been exposed Marthe48 Apr 2020 #19
My brother is an ER doctor. Initech Apr 2020 #22
He's on the front line Marthe48 Apr 2020 #23
I don't know, it's hard to say. Initech Apr 2020 #24
Depends on Who is doing the Counting Stallion Apr 2020 #7
If you don't mind i will wait for the final revised numbers. I think the evidence is clear.... usaf-vet Apr 2020 #8
what you said... dhill926 Apr 2020 #12
Update1. This is WHY. We must wait until ALL the numbers are in. usaf-vet Apr 2020 #31
FYI, if the person isn't tested to confirm Covid-19, their death isn't reported as Covid-19 ffr Apr 2020 #9
I saw something from a MAGAt poster yesterday saying docgee Apr 2020 #11
IMHO, we'll have multiple waves being that the CV is so contageous. As we can see from the ... SWBTATTReg Apr 2020 #10
Is testing and reporting accurate and sufficient? ananda Apr 2020 #14
I don't see how China will avoid a second wave in another city. Politicub Apr 2020 #26
We are going to need... Newest Reality Apr 2020 #28
Yes, every word! BigmanPigman Apr 2020 #29
IHME seems overly optimistic for countries that actively track death outside hospitals logme Apr 2020 #32
We don't even know the real death numbers Marrah_Goodman Apr 2020 #33
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