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In reply to the discussion: Key Scientific Group Doubles Its Projected US Death Toll from Pandemic to 135,000 [View all]NotHardly
(1,062 posts)20. History and human stupidity repeat themselves
https://www.history.com/news/spanish-flu-second-wave-resurgence
When the Spanish flu first appeared in early March 1918, it had all the hallmarks of a seasonal flu, albeit a highly contagious and virulent strain. One of the first registered cases was Albert Gitchell, a U.S. Army cook at Camp Funston in Kansas, who was hospitalized with a 104-degree fever. The virus spread quickly through the Army installation, home to 54,000 troops. By the end of the month, 1,100 troops had been hospitalized and 38 had died after developing pneumonia.
From September through November of 1918, the death rate from the Spanish flu skyrocketed. In the United States alone, 195,000 Americans died from the Spanish flu in just the month of October. And unlike a normal seasonal flu, which mostly claims victims among the very young and very old, the second wave of the Spanish flu exhibited whats called a W curvehigh numbers of deaths among the young and old, but also a huge spike in the middle composed of otherwise healthy 25- to 35-year-olds in the prime of their life.
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https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/san-francisco-had-1918-flu-under-control-then-it-lifted-n1191141
But three weeks after that celebration of removing their masks, the city saw a dramatic resurgence. Officials at first rejected the idea of reopening the city and suggested residents could voluntarily wear face coverings.
But shortly after the New Year in 1919, the city was hit with 600 new cases in one day, prompting the Board of Supervisors to re-enact the mandatory mask ordinance. Protests against the mandate eventually led to the formation of the Anti-Mask League. The detractors eventually got their way when the order was lifted in February.
San Franciscos ambivalence to quarantine measures ran counter to other U.S. cities, though. Navarro said Los Angeles, for instance, implemented strict social distancing and face coverings about a week before San Francisco did and its measures stayed in place for weeks longer.
Many cities often became complacent once they saw a dip in cases, and when a resurgence happens residents often question the public health guidance.
"They were flattening that curve; they just weren't realizing it," Navarro said. "A lot of people thought, Well, what did we go through that for? It did have an impact, they just didn't know it."
As Dr. Anthony Fauci aid in March, 2020 "If it looks like you're overreacting, you're probably doing the right thing."
When the Spanish flu first appeared in early March 1918, it had all the hallmarks of a seasonal flu, albeit a highly contagious and virulent strain. One of the first registered cases was Albert Gitchell, a U.S. Army cook at Camp Funston in Kansas, who was hospitalized with a 104-degree fever. The virus spread quickly through the Army installation, home to 54,000 troops. By the end of the month, 1,100 troops had been hospitalized and 38 had died after developing pneumonia.
From September through November of 1918, the death rate from the Spanish flu skyrocketed. In the United States alone, 195,000 Americans died from the Spanish flu in just the month of October. And unlike a normal seasonal flu, which mostly claims victims among the very young and very old, the second wave of the Spanish flu exhibited whats called a W curvehigh numbers of deaths among the young and old, but also a huge spike in the middle composed of otherwise healthy 25- to 35-year-olds in the prime of their life.
______________________
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/san-francisco-had-1918-flu-under-control-then-it-lifted-n1191141
But three weeks after that celebration of removing their masks, the city saw a dramatic resurgence. Officials at first rejected the idea of reopening the city and suggested residents could voluntarily wear face coverings.
But shortly after the New Year in 1919, the city was hit with 600 new cases in one day, prompting the Board of Supervisors to re-enact the mandatory mask ordinance. Protests against the mandate eventually led to the formation of the Anti-Mask League. The detractors eventually got their way when the order was lifted in February.
San Franciscos ambivalence to quarantine measures ran counter to other U.S. cities, though. Navarro said Los Angeles, for instance, implemented strict social distancing and face coverings about a week before San Francisco did and its measures stayed in place for weeks longer.
Many cities often became complacent once they saw a dip in cases, and when a resurgence happens residents often question the public health guidance.
"They were flattening that curve; they just weren't realizing it," Navarro said. "A lot of people thought, Well, what did we go through that for? It did have an impact, they just didn't know it."
As Dr. Anthony Fauci aid in March, 2020 "If it looks like you're overreacting, you're probably doing the right thing."
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Key Scientific Group Doubles Its Projected US Death Toll from Pandemic to 135,000 [View all]
SouthernCal_Dem
May 2020
OP
And, once again, this is because of the "re-open everything!!!" demands from conservatives...
regnaD kciN
May 2020
#5
Also, apparently, they include no epidemiological information in their modeling.
Squinch
May 2020
#14
So Trump and his economic lackey inside the white house were putting in there "own"
turbinetree
May 2020
#10
I think that number is optimistic as to many Trump supporting nutjobs refuse to take this as
cstanleytech
May 2020
#18