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TomCADem

(17,391 posts)
18. GOP winning the Georgia ad war as Dems shift money to ground game
Mon Jan 4, 2021, 11:26 PM
Jan 2021

I think Republicans probably do have an advantage, though Warnoff and Ossoff are doing great despite the fact that they are not getting billionaires throwing millions dollar at them. I contributed them, because if it is a longshot, you can't just ignore the fact that Perdue and Loeffler are corrupt and are supporting a criminal who is trying to undermine our Democracy. You can't just choose to contribute or fight in those situations where you are the heavy favorite. The crooks are the incumbents and they are getting millions of dollars in support from their cronies, so yes they will have a huge advantage in this election. The fact that Ossoff and Warnock have a chance is a testament to the grassroots efforts of Democrats throughout Georgia.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/20/gop-georgia-ad-war-democrats-448526

Democrats are getting out-advertised in the Georgia Senate runoffs thanks to a megadonor-funded blitz from GOP super PACs in the races that will decide control of the Senate.

Republicans hold an overall advertising advantage across the state, largely fueled by $86 million in outside spending supporting their candidates, compared to just $30 million spent by Democratic outside groups on TV advertising so far, according to AdImpact. Democratic candidates Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock are hauling in record small-dollar cash, far ahead of GOP Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler — but not enough to own the airwaves.

Super PACs pay more per ad than candidates do, so Ossoff and Warnock have been able to blunt the GOP’s financial edge, especially in the Atlanta media market, where nearly two-thirds of people in the state reside. But GOP TV ads are running in much higher rotation in other markets, according to data from AdImpact, and the disparity has sparked concern among Democrats that the two campaigns aren’t getting enough help with control of the Senate on the line.

Interviews with a dozen Democratic strategists and donors outlined several key reasons why Republicans have been able to build an advertising advantage. There’s fatigue among Democrats’ biggest donors after pouring millions into the 2020 general election, as well as mild skepticism that Ossoff and Warnock can actually win.
Conducted by a republican super pac.. no more need be said Thekaspervote Jan 2021 #1
Trying to set up a steal, I would suspect Blue Owl Jan 2021 #2
Let's be blunt... regnaD kciN Jan 2021 #3
It's all about turnout. Turin_C3PO Jan 2021 #13
With so many newly registered voters and so many registered voters sdfernando Jan 2021 #4
Wouldn't surprise me in the least -- I've long since learned to ignore polls rocktivity Jan 2021 #5
Def an attempt to stir Republican turnout bucolic_frolic Jan 2021 #6
Polls schmolls.... SergeStorms Jan 2021 #7
45% to 46% is not a statistical tie, Axios DrToast Jan 2021 #8
46% to 46% would be an actual tie Polybius Jan 2021 #11
There is no such thing as a statistical tie DrToast Jan 2021 #12
"Statistical tie" has been used for years, it just means it's within the MOE Polybius Jan 2021 #15
Lots of incorrect things have been used for years DrToast Jan 2021 #20
It does a better job of conveying the inexact nature of polls than the term "tie." n/t pnwmom Jan 2021 #25
A statistical tie means that it the numbers are within the margin of error pnwmom Jan 2021 #19
If one person is more likely to be ahead... DrToast Jan 2021 #21
Because that is a term pollsters and reporters use to describe a race that is "too close to call." pnwmom Jan 2021 #24
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Jan 2021 #9
You Have To Give Republicans The Edge Because They Think Trump Is Racist God TomCADem Jan 2021 #10
500 voters................for the model........ turbinetree Jan 2021 #14
There's a huge flaw in these polls... appmanga Jan 2021 #16
GOP winning the Georgia ad war as Dems shift money to ground game TomCADem Jan 2021 #18
Rachel talked tonight about how special eleciton polling is generally bad, especially over Renew Deal Jan 2021 #17
Yeah, and it's probably worse this year. Happy Hoosier Jan 2021 #23
I HATE the term "statistical tie" It's not really accurate. Happy Hoosier Jan 2021 #22
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