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In reply to the discussion: Gov. Whitmer says President Biden's COVID-19 vaccine mandate a 'problem,' report says [View all]progree
(10,908 posts)Last edited Wed Dec 8, 2021, 03:00 AM - Edit history (4)
reversing nearly 2 1/2 months of progress. (7 day moving average = 7dma)
It's particularly sad because the Monday (Nov 29) that dropped out of the 7 day moving average period was one that was somewhat artificially high because it had some backlogged cases reported from the Thanksgiving weekend. I was hoping that when that Monday dropped off, the 7 day moving average might go down a bit. But no, Monday Dec 6's 7dma was even higher than Mon Nov 29. Maybe Tuesday Nov 30 -- also somewhat swollen with Thanksgiving 4-day weekend backlog (for example, my state, Minnesota reports weekend cases on Tuesday) -- will, when it drops out of the 7dma, bring the 7dma down a bit.
But that's the last of the special circumstances that might help with the 7dma. Unless last Wednesday (Dec 1) also had a significant number of Thanksgiving 4-day weekend cases, which i have no reason to believe it does.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/covid-cases.html
(no paywall no quota. The "Last 90 days" button above the graph is extremely helpful. The map is not to be missed)
Top 16 in Daily new cases per capita, 7 day moving average (includes Monday Dec 6 cases)
#1 New Hampshire
#2 Michigan (has been #1 or #2 for about a month)
#3 Minnesota
#4 Rhode Island
#5 Vermont
#6 New Mexico
#7 Wisconsin
#8 Indiana
#9 Massachusetts
#10 Ohio
#11-#16: NoDak, SoDak, Kansas, W.Virginia, Delaware, Pennsylvania
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As for what states are changing in 7-day new case averages: For one, the South is increasing again. All of the southern states are increasing. All of them.
The only states that are decreasing: Iowa, Washington, Idaho, Maine, Wyoming, Colorado, Hawaii, Alaska, Montana
2 states are flat. The other 39 states are rising. For a 39-9-2 record.
Increasing means the 7 day moving average ending December 6 is higher than the 7 day moving average ending November 22 (which is 14 days prior to Dec 6).
Deaths up 39% from Nov 29 low (they lag increases in cases by a month or a little more).
The world is on fire too -- new cases are up 50% since the October 14 low (7dma).
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/covid-cases.html