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progree

(10,908 posts)
17. I see this as a problem: US new cases up 70% since Oct 25 low, highest since Sept 25
Wed Dec 8, 2021, 12:05 AM
Dec 2021

Last edited Wed Dec 8, 2021, 03:00 AM - Edit history (4)

reversing nearly 2 1/2 months of progress. (7 day moving average = 7dma)

It's particularly sad because the Monday (Nov 29) that dropped out of the 7 day moving average period was one that was somewhat artificially high because it had some backlogged cases reported from the Thanksgiving weekend. I was hoping that when that Monday dropped off, the 7 day moving average might go down a bit. But no, Monday Dec 6's   7dma was even higher than Mon Nov 29. Maybe Tuesday Nov 30 -- also somewhat swollen with Thanksgiving 4-day weekend backlog (for example, my state, Minnesota reports weekend cases on Tuesday) -- will, when it drops out of the 7dma, bring the 7dma down a bit.

But that's the last of the special circumstances that might help with the 7dma. Unless last Wednesday (Dec 1) also had a significant number of Thanksgiving 4-day weekend cases, which i have no reason to believe it does.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/covid-cases.html
(no paywall no quota. The "Last 90 days" button above the graph is extremely helpful. The map is not to be missed)

Top 16 in Daily new cases per capita, 7 day moving average (includes Monday Dec 6 cases)

#1 New Hampshire
#2 Michigan (has been #1 or #2 for about a month)
#3 Minnesota
#4 Rhode Island
#5 Vermont
#6 New Mexico
#7 Wisconsin
#8 Indiana
#9 Massachusetts
#10 Ohio
#11-#16: NoDak, SoDak, Kansas, W.Virginia, Delaware, Pennsylvania

==========================

As for what states are changing in 7-day new case averages: For one, the South is increasing again. All of the southern states are increasing. All of them.

The only states that are decreasing: Iowa, Washington, Idaho, Maine, Wyoming, Colorado, Hawaii, Alaska, Montana

2 states are flat. The other 39 states are rising. For a 39-9-2 record.

Increasing means the 7 day moving average ending December 6 is higher than the 7 day moving average ending November 22 (which is 14 days prior to Dec 6).

Deaths up 39% from Nov 29 low (they lag increases in cases by a month or a little more).

The world is on fire too -- new cases are up 50% since the October 14 low (7dma).
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/covid-cases.html

SMH Ferrets are Cool Dec 2021 #1
You don't know what she's dealing with here. ybbor Dec 2021 #2
I deal with the same in W MI, I called them floaters as they follow the flushed turd, I think going yaesu Dec 2021 #14
Bingo!! Ferrets are Cool Dec 2021 #24
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Dec 2021 #21
She needs to do this if she wants to be re-elected next November. I'm still with her. catbyte Dec 2021 #6
Same thing in KS Rebl2 Dec 2021 #12
So? It's all about getting elected...not keeping people safe. Ferrets are Cool Dec 2021 #25
It's a heluva lot better than losing the governorship to a republican. She has done catbyte Dec 2021 #27
So? Trying to save lives will guarantee a loss. You must be a prophet to know these things. Ferrets are Cool Dec 2021 #30
That is not how I read her comments karynnj Dec 2021 #29
We have DownriverDem Dec 2021 #3
Trumpers are making Gov Whitmer oppose the Federal mandate? MichMan Dec 2021 #7
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Dec 2021 #19
Michigan is having one of the worst covid outbreaks in the country right now. LisaL Dec 2021 #4
Beto doesn't want Biden in Texas, Whitmer thinks mandated vaccines aren't a good idea, Tester JohnSJ Dec 2021 #5
No, but independents got her elected here and if she alienates them, we're sunk. catbyte Dec 2021 #8
If the independents don't believe in public health and science, then we are already sunk. JohnSJ Dec 2021 #10
2010 syndrome vercetti2021 Dec 2021 #9
No they don't. JohnSJ Dec 2021 #11
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Dec 2021 #22
Umm, let them walk, take a few days to train national guard until replacements can be hired yaesu Dec 2021 #13
Exactly. A few months with zero income and no unemployment benefits will set them straight. Lucky Luciano Dec 2021 #15
fuck them, LET THEM WALK Skittles Dec 2021 #16
I see this as a problem: US new cases up 70% since Oct 25 low, highest since Sept 25 progree Dec 2021 #17
Money trumps death. gab13by13 Dec 2021 #18
Which is more important for a politician? christx30 Dec 2021 #20
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Dec 2021 #23
Yup - they'll cave in just like the loudmouth cops did in nyc and Chicago. Lucky Luciano Dec 2021 #26
This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Dec 2021 #28
I support her in this... radicalleft Dec 2021 #31
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