Add Three Points to Hillary's Count in All Recent Polls

[Qutzupalotl]

15. There is, but it is a question of proportion.

I think your +3 is a pretty good guess, but I expect it to swing the other way in some areas. I keep hearing reporters finding first-time voters going for Trump. This is a high-turnout election because both sides are fired up. We have the advantage in ground game and resources, and as you mentioned, there will be Trump wives secretly voting Clinton. There are registered Republicans breaking for Clinton, which are invisible to early turnout numbers unless specifically polled. Then there is the intimidation/suppression factor, blunted hopefully by the Justice Department.

All this makes an unpredictable race, with polling varying widely.

These are interesting times. One hopes common decency will prevail, and does what one can. Together we can do what one cannot.