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2016 Postmortem

(971 posts)

8. From all the polling I've seen

Mon Jul 23, 2012, 12:13 AM

Jul 2012

303 EV seems about right. There are bound to be some changes, but as of now, I put Obama with a solid lead.

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My latest electoral college numbers [View all] center rising Jul 2012 OP

It went to Obama in 2008. Lex Jul 2012 #2

NC was tough, but in the end, center rising Jul 2012 #3

Missouri just might go Blue this year........ TheDebbieDee Jul 2012 #4

maybe she doesn't excite progressive Democrats... brooklynite Jul 2012 #23

I agree Robbins Jul 2012 #28

I sure hope you have that 303 count firm. Thanks for the information. freshwest Jul 2012 #6

From all the polling I've seen center rising Jul 2012 #8

The good news about your poll is that Chipper Chat Jul 2012 #7

Yeah, Obama definitely has some wiggle room here. center rising Jul 2012 #9

Obama could lose Colorado, Florida, Iowa, and Virginia and still win demwing Jul 2012 #18

He could theoretically lose Virginia, Ohio AND Florida Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2012 #22

Too soon to do serious calculations SoutherDem Jul 2012 #10

I think it is valuable to track trends...nt Wounded Bear Jul 2012 #25

Well… CobaltBlue Jul 2012 #12

oops... just posted the same thing.. DCBob Jul 2012 #16

excellent ges6262fese Jul 2012 #14

I think that is almost exactly the RCP no toss-up map DCBob Jul 2012 #15

Why only Florida? demwing Jul 2012 #17

That's pretty much how Nate Silver's forecast has things right now. Daniel537 Jul 2012 #19

I've been calling 332-333 to 205-206 for about a year now. mikekohr Jul 2012 #20

No Way IN Goes for Obama n/t stuckinodi Jul 2012 #26

The Votemaster (electoral-vote.com) has Obama at 332 Jim Lane Jul 2012 #24

My take Robbins Jul 2012 #29