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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Morning Consult Post Debate Poll: Biden 32%, Sanders 20%, Warren 18%, Harris 6% [View all]bluewater
(5,376 posts)46. It is really simple, delegates continue voting until one candidate gets a majority.
Let me highlight it for you:
A PLURALITY does not win the nomination. You need an outright MAJORITY.
A candidate could win a MAJORITY outright in the primaries, then they are said to win the nomination "on the first ballot" at the convention since only elected pledged delegates can vote on the first ballot.
FAILING to get a MAJORITY on the first ballot means the convention goes to a SECOND ballot, where selected "super delegates", usually party officials, can also vote. Plus all the elected pledge delegates are then free to vote for any candidate they choose.
A PLURALITY never wins the nomination, you must get a MAJORITY one way or the other.
THIS is why it matters if Warren and Sanders COMBINED support translates into a number of delegates greater than Biden's. That STOPS BIDEN from getting a majority of pledged delegates, meaning Biden can not win on the first ballot at the convention.
For example, delegates originally pledged to Sanders could decide to vote on subsequent ballots for Warren, possibly giving her the majority.
A candidate could win a MAJORITY outright in the primaries, then they are said to win the nomination "on the first ballot" at the convention since only elected pledged delegates can vote on the first ballot.
FAILING to get a MAJORITY on the first ballot means the convention goes to a SECOND ballot, where selected "super delegates", usually party officials, can also vote. Plus all the elected pledge delegates are then free to vote for any candidate they choose.
A PLURALITY never wins the nomination, you must get a MAJORITY one way or the other.
THIS is why it matters if Warren and Sanders COMBINED support translates into a number of delegates greater than Biden's. That STOPS BIDEN from getting a majority of pledged delegates, meaning Biden can not win on the first ballot at the convention.
For example, delegates originally pledged to Sanders could decide to vote on subsequent ballots for Warren, possibly giving her the majority.
After the first ballot, elected pledged delegates are not locked into their original candidate.
On the second ballot, and any subsequent ballots, super delegates can vote along with all the original pledged delegates, who would then be free to vote for any candidate they choose.
Balloting rounds continue until one candidate GETS A MAJORITY of delegates to vote for them.
Pretty simple, right?
But if this process still seems confusing, I would suggest that you contact your local Democratic Campaign office and ask if someone there could explain the nomination process in detail in person.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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Morning Consult Post Debate Poll: Biden 32%, Sanders 20%, Warren 18%, Harris 6% [View all]
Otto Lidenbrock
Sep 2019
OP
Sure. A lot of more favorable polls fell out of the average. Those that currently make up th current
LincolnRossiter
Sep 2019
#6
The trend is negligible. He was ahead approximately 10.5 a couple of weeks ago. He's about
LincolnRossiter
Sep 2019
#11
Again, this polling sample happens to capture most the the polls he's done relatively poorly in and
LincolnRossiter
Sep 2019
#15
The new MC poll must certainly be an enviable position for the other candidates
Thekaspervote
Sep 2019
#23
Wow! The early state polling looks even better for Biden. Thx for posting
Thekaspervote
Sep 2019
#28
I really do consider that wishful thinking...I follow the polls closely...I see no fading from Biden
Demsrule86
Sep 2019
#48
If Sanders drops out, which, though unlikely, is the likeliest scenario...
OilemFirchen
Sep 2019
#16
Um, no... it's very significant in regards to delegate counts in the primaries
bluewater
Sep 2019
#37
lol So you didn't know you need a majority of the delegates to win the nomination?
bluewater
Sep 2019
#41
It is really simple, delegates continue voting until one candidate gets a majority.
bluewater
Sep 2019
#46
It doesn't work that way. Here's a poll of second choices for voters and where that support goes
Thekaspervote
Sep 2019
#21
I don't think the votes neccesarily will go to Warren if Sanders drops out and I don't think he
Demsrule86
Sep 2019
#47
Thank you for that. Despite attempts by some to overemphasize Biden's "gaffes"....
Tarheel_Dem
Sep 2019
#35