Democratic Primaries
Showing Original Post only (View all)My pre-Iowa prediction.. it will be candidate Sanders, but President Trump. [View all]
Yeah yeah yeah, I know, but it's a prediction only. One that I'll bookmark, and look back on later in the hope that I can look back and laugh at how wrong I was.
I do think Bernie is going to be a front runner coming out of the early states. A pretty strong one.
Super Tuesday would have been Bidens chance to come back strong, but while the field of candidates that have been running (including Biden) have been focusing on those early states, Bloomberg has been focusing almost 100% on the Super Tuesday states.
Bloomberg is not going to detract from Bernies Support base, he will detract from Biden's.
The exception I see is if Warren stays in, Buttigieg and Klobuchar drop out well before Super Tuesday.
If the primary prediction is right, then a candidate Sanders will lose the GE. Of the swing states that will decide, I see Michigan and Wisconsin being very within his taking, but Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Arizona are most likely going to end up going to Trump again. I also think there's a good chance that the Democratic Party leaning state of Virginia could very well swing Trump, and the 2x Republican leaning potential swing states of North Carolina and Georgia are off the table.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided