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Democratic Primaries

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Amimnoch

(4,558 posts)
Tue Jan 28, 2020, 06:40 AM Jan 2020

My pre-Iowa prediction.. it will be candidate Sanders, but President Trump. [View all]

Yeah yeah yeah, I know, but it's a prediction only. One that I'll bookmark, and look back on later in the hope that I can look back and laugh at how wrong I was.

I do think Bernie is going to be a front runner coming out of the early states. A pretty strong one.

Super Tuesday would have been Bidens chance to come back strong, but while the field of candidates that have been running (including Biden) have been focusing on those early states, Bloomberg has been focusing almost 100% on the Super Tuesday states.

Bloomberg is not going to detract from Bernies Support base, he will detract from Biden's.

The exception I see is if Warren stays in, Buttigieg and Klobuchar drop out well before Super Tuesday.

If the primary prediction is right, then a candidate Sanders will lose the GE. Of the swing states that will decide, I see Michigan and Wisconsin being very within his taking, but Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Arizona are most likely going to end up going to Trump again. I also think there's a good chance that the Democratic Party leaning state of Virginia could very well swing Trump, and the 2x Republican leaning potential swing states of North Carolina and Georgia are off the table.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
44 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Of course he loses the GE...but I still don't think he will be the nominee...all this Sander's Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #1
+10000000 Pachamama Jan 2020 #3
Not only that... Mike Nelson Jan 2020 #2
So we need to vote for Biden whom Trump fears and win MI, WI and PA...send Trump packing but Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #4
This message was self-deleted by its author RandiFan1290 Jan 2020 #6
Sanders has to "earn" the votes of their supporters NYMinute Jan 2020 #9
That is not true...Sanders will lose the general which is why the GOP want him as our Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #11
Lol nini Jan 2020 #14
Yes exactly like he did. Just not as little as Clinton did for Obama. Nanjeanne Jan 2020 #31
Yeah there's that inconvenient truth and facts. Hassin Bin Sober Jan 2020 #43
I don't want to bring up the past, but Bernie didn't bust his ass for Hillary calguy Jan 2020 #17
This message was self-deleted by its author RandiFan1290 Jan 2020 #19
Just watch Nanjeanne Jan 2020 #32
Naw, I'm sure Bernie will be consistent and insist that only he is responsible R B Garr Jan 2020 #35
House could change some, but I think we'll hold. Senate almost unattainable in any scenario. Amimnoch Jan 2020 #5
We will not hold the house if we run left...the polls are terrible...and the senate is attainable Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #13
This message was self-deleted by its author RandiFan1290 Jan 2020 #7
Already making excuses for his loss, eh? Amimnoch Jan 2020 #8
Bernie loses no matter what. nt NYMinute Jan 2020 #10
Is this the new theme? nini Jan 2020 #15
Oh I almost forgot...it is your candidates job to win over voters. Demsrule86 Jan 2020 #16
Walking shoes won't help. cab67 Jan 2020 #24
President Biden. Most people are too smart, and belatedly concerned. Hortensis Jan 2020 #12
I have no doubt calguy Jan 2020 #21
:) Trump's claiming we're "rigging" the election against Sanders. Hortensis Jan 2020 #25
Don't discount Bloomberg, I was safeinOhio Jan 2020 #18
The sky is falling! LS_Editor Jan 2020 #20
Trump's prediction was that foreigners will come to kill us IronLionZion Jan 2020 #22
My Prediction exoskeleton Jan 2020 #23
And acquitted twice Kaiserguy Jan 2020 #27
Not very positive of you, gab13by13 Jan 2020 #33
The nest time you time travel write down some lotto numbers yaesu Jan 2020 #26
Help we need you,Barack!! mainstreetonce Jan 2020 #28
Wow I'm stunned, gab13by13 Jan 2020 #29
ROFL. -nt Amimnoch Jan 2020 #37
I think you are right. Bernie will likely be the candidate thanks to some very misguided Dream Girl Jan 2020 #30
Wow man, gab13by13 Jan 2020 #34
ROFL.. Bashing you? Does this mean you think you're misguided or Trumper or Russian? Amimnoch Jan 2020 #38
I don't disrespect Sanders supporters as a default. cab67 Jan 2020 #39
Mark my words. Sanders is not electable.It will be a bloodbath and we will all be in a world of hurt Dream Girl Jan 2020 #40
Good Points. Replace Bernie with Biden in the replies here MarcA Jan 2020 #41
This message was self-deleted by its author LanternWaste Jan 2020 #36
re: "Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Arizona...end up going to Trump again" thesquanderer Jan 2020 #42
If Bloomberg takes enough of Bidens vote tally on Super Tuesday to hand Bernie victory Kentonio Jan 2020 #44
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