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Democratic Primaries

Politicub

(12,165 posts)

4. 538 has been a hot mess for years

Reply to andym (Original post)

Sun Mar 1, 2020, 03:53 PM

Mar 2020

I think it's only there as clickbait now.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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5 replies

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Highlight:

538 now predicts a 3 in 5 chance that no one wins on the first ballot-- caucus-like convention [View all] andym Mar 2020 OP

The threshold starting on the second ballot is 2345 Moderateguy Mar 2020 #1

OK that makes sense-- the first ballot threshold is 1991 andym Mar 2020 #2

That's exactly what I said. Laelth Mar 2020 #3

Your independent analysis is very much in tune with 538. andym Mar 2020 #5

538 has been a hot mess for years Politicub Mar 2020 #4

Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»538 now predicts a 3 in 5...»Reply #4