Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: You have to think about electability [View all]JonLP24
(29,322 posts)Specifically, DFP designed a survey to test whether Bidens advantage over Trump is sturdy enough to survive negative attacks. For its first round of polling, they presented voters with a hypothetical Biden-Trump match-up, and asked whether they would back the Democrat, the Republican, someone else, or not vote. In this framing, DFP found Biden enjoying a lead albeit, an aberrantly miniscule one of 39.4 to 39.2 percent (or 50.1-49.9 percent, among voters who were willing to pick one of the two major party candidates).
DFP then presented voters with a series of negative statements about both Trump and Biden. It alerted respondents to the former Delaware senators support for rolling back bankruptcy protections for working families, and the regressive nature of Trumps tax cuts. The pollsters then described Bidens support for the Iraq War, Trumps mindless withdrawal from the Iran nuclear agreement, and finally, Bidens backing of a crime bill that led to the long-term incarceration of many nonviolent offenders, and Trumps ongoing insistence that the (exonerated) Central Park Five should have been given the death penalty.
After sharing this information with voters, DFP asked them how concerning they found each aspect of the candidates records. For every pair of negative statements, more voters were alarmed by Trumps baggage than by Bidens (i.e., 43 percent were concerned by Bidens support for the crime bill, while 57 percent were concerned by the fact that our president believes several African-American men should be executed for a crime that they did not commit). Nevertheless, Trumps initial supporters proved more loyal than Bidens. After hearing all of the negative statements, one in eight of Bidens initial backers switched their preference to either Trump, someone else, or staying at home. As a result, Trump opened up a 39.4 to 34.2 percent lead (or 53.5 to 46.5 percent, among that subset of voters who were willing to pick between the two major party candidates).
https://www.google.com/amp/nymag.com/intelligencer/amp/2019/04/poll-joe-biden-may-be-less-electable-than-he-looks.html
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided