crimycarny
crimycarny's JournalInteresting article on how polls became "polluted" in October 2022 and how media fell for it
I stumbled across this article today when researching what polls were predicting in 2022, the whole “red wave” that never came.
It’s interesting that the polls started becoming “polluted” with partisan polls around October of 2022, just as they are now. Apparently one of the motivations for making a race seem tighter than it is, is to get your opposition to panic and spend money in races that are actually comfortable wins and not spend money in races that are tighter but winnable.
I think we’re seeing some of the same “pollution”. (As a preemptive strike against the inevitable “don’t get complacent!” warnings, no one is getting complacent—just found this article enlightening)
https://www.nwprogressive.org/weblog/2022/12/nyt-admits-its-midterms-coverage-was-wrongly-wedded-to-a-red-wave-narrative.html
To add some levity to the DU discussions on VP---Daily Show
Ronnie Chieng and Desi Lydic Daily Show segment on Kamala Harris VP pick
(Sorry if this has already been posted)
Olympic balance beam on the farm
Love that his dog is watching, lol
https://x.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1817561479702254028
Governor Tim Walz PSA 2019 video for hands free driving
First of all, I will be fine with any of the front-runner VP picks (Shapiro, Buttigieg, Kelly, Walz). But I'm really liking Walz and the way he's able to understand messaging in ways Dems sometimes fail to grasp. His use of the word "weird" is a perfect example of how to diffuse the GOP attacks into the ridiculous versus give them oxygen. (Kamala is great at messaging too--not implying she isn't).
Below is a 2019 PSA that Gov Walz did with his daughter on a "hands-free driving" law that went into effect in Minnesota in 2019.
https://x.com/davidhogg111/status/1818017575827292442
I apologize if this video has been posted on DU already. First time I've seen it.
Mark Kelly and Gabby Giffords People interview on their own story about IVF
So many things I'm learning about Mark Kelly and the more I read the more I feel he's the best choice for VP.
-- Astronaut
-- Navy pilot (flew 39 missions in Operation Desert Storm)
-- Currently training Ukraine pilots on F16s
-- Married to Gabby Giffords, very popular in AZ
-- Gun owner but a strong advocate for sensible gun control measures
-- Strong on borders issues (visited border more than once--2023 and 2024, obtained funding for AZ border patrol in 2024). He's often talked about border issues being from a border state.
-- Both parents were cops
What I've just learned is that they had an appointment to meet with a fertility specialist which was 2 days after the tragic shooting. That tragic shooting ended their dream of having a child together.
https://people.com/mark-kelly-gabby-giffords-ivf-reproductive-freedom-exclusive-essay-8664641
I know a huge downside is the potential of losing a Senate seat in 2026. But with Mark Kelly so overwhelmingly popular in AZ, perhaps his campaigning for the AZ senate candidate running in 2026 would help win that seat back.
Interesting Interview of Mark Kelly
Found this interview of Mark Kelly which I found compelling. I can see Mark Kelly appealing to the more conservative white male voters and swing state voters. (I don't mean appealing "exclusively" to conservative white male, I mean he could draw them in as well as already appealing to the Dem base)
https://www.thirteen.org/openmind/breaking-bread/courage-in-flight/7779/
EDIT: I give up. I was simply trying to share an interview I saw of Mark Kelly as I'm trying to learn more about the VP candidates. I didn't mean to imply anything along the lines of worrying more about what white male voters think. I give up, this is why it's so hard to have reasonable conversations.
And the Dems fall for it--hook, line and f*ng sinker
For those idiotic Dem Congressman and Senators who think Biden stepping down is a good strategy, here is what Senator Sherrod Brown's GOP opponent said after Brown's announcement that Biden show step down:
“If Joe Biden is unfit to run, he is unfit to serve,” Moreno said in an emailed statement from his campaign. “I am formally calling on Joe Biden to resign the Presidency because his continued presence in the situation room is a national security threat. I hope Senator Brown will join me.”
And there it is folks. If Biden steps down the media will pivot to "Should Biden resign the Presidency?".
Lest we forget--calls for Clinton to drop out due to "health reasons"
Source: Twitter
"Even Clinton Allies are Hysterical Over Her Health"
Read more: https://x.com/jenniferbkatz/status/1814066608328802812
This looks familiar...
Why aren't Dems controlling the message by highlighting their fight for gun control?
I will never understand why Democrats are so HORRIBLE at messaging. Dems need to control the message after the attempted shooting of Trump, the killing of a bystander, and the critical wounding of two others. GOP has grabbed this event by the horns and is politicizing it to try and muzzle Democrats from criticizing Trump. Dems could counter by pounding the message that this--the shooting at a Trump rally--is a perfect example of why gun control is needed.
It is not being "disrespectful" to advocate for policies that might have prevented the shooting at the Trump rally. In fact, the message could center around empathy for those affected and how it's all the more important to ensure it doesn't happen again.
But, as always, Dems cower in fear of "offending" anyone. Just like with Senator Al Franken, Dems ran around in circles trying to prove "we're better than the other guys" and thus did the GOP's work for them by forcing a great Senator to resign without even giving him a chance to defend himself.
Why, why, why do Dems continue to do this to themselves?
If the man running on zero gun control gets shot at, at his own event which was surrounded by Secret Service and local police, doesn't that completely blow up that argument for no gun control?
The GOP immediately seized on this issue and used it to their advantage to try and attack the Dems most powerful weapon which was to show the danger Trump and Project 2025 is. Why aren't Dems doing the same to the GOP, attacking one of their most powerful weapons (2nd Admendment).
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Member since: Fri Oct 19, 2018, 08:49 PMNumber of posts: 1,561