oneview

oneview's Journal

January 22, 2015

Tasty-fresh new poll, coming thru! -- ABC/WashPost, General Election -- Clinton, Clinton, Clinton!

Hillary dominates:

against Huckabee - 56/39
Romney - 55/40
Paul - 54/41
Bush - 54/41
Christie - 53/40

Here's some key quotes from the poll release:

"... registered voters by a 13 point margin say the fact that Clinton would be the first female president makes them more likely rather than less likely to support her. Her husband having served as president is another net positive, by an 8 point margin. Those results sound in contrast to Bush and Romney's backgrounds..."

"she's stronger in her base" (than the Republicans are)
-- backed by 9 in 10 registered Democrats
-- backed by 8 in 10 liberals
-- backed by 6 in 10 moderates

"as with Barack Obama, the recovery helps Clinton"

"Clinton has a strong advantage among those who see income inequality as a major problem"

http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1166a52016Election.pdf

I can't avoid thinking that from victory unto victory her armies she shall lead, till every foe is vanquished and Hill is Prez indeed!

January 18, 2015

Conventions 2016: Republicans in Cleveland. Democrats... in Brooklyn?!?

As you may have noted this week, the Republicans have decided to have their 2016 national convention in Cleveland. A solid, if uninspired choice: might as well go to a battleground state.

The Democrats haven't decided yet, though the frontrunning cities are Columbus, Ohio, Philadelphia -- and Brooklyn?

I'll admit I'm ready for Hillary. I will also admit that she won't be a magnet for a youth vote the way Obama was. Maybe there are ways to mitigate that -- even just the "textsfromHillary" Twitter thing from a while ago did a lot to give her some Millenial cool -- but I think doing the nomination in Brooklyn would be a mistake.

The hot neighborhoods in Brooklyn have became so ridiculously expensive -- Williamsburg is full of glass tower luxury condos -- that even most of the upper-middle-class "creative" kids these days are doing their parentally-subsidized urban adventuring in places like Philly or Baltimore. You can only ask Daddy for so much.

So I don't think Brooklyn is a good choice right now. Especially if the recently buoyant economy starts sinking again, Brooklyn will be way too much let-them-eat-cake.

http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2015/01/dates_set_for_2016_republican.html

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/ellen-freudenheim/countdown-when-will-locat_b_6445620.html

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