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NNadir

NNadir's Journal
NNadir's Journal
February 1, 2024

4 Canadian Nuclear Reactors To Be Refurbished For An Additional 30 Years of Service.

Ontario minister confirms Pickering refurbishment plans

Subtitle:

The provincial government is supporting Ontario Power Generation (OPG) to go ahead with the refurbishment of units 5-8 at the Pickering nuclear power plant. OPG will now begin the initiation phase of the project.


Excerpts:

Announcing the government's support for the plan, Ontario Minister of Energy Todd Smith said refurbishing the four Candu units would enable the plant to produce "at least" another 30 years of safe, reliable and clean electricity while creating thousands of new jobs. "With global business looking to expand in jurisdictions with reliable, affordable and clean electricity, a refurbished Pickering Nuclear Generating Station would help Ontario compete for and land more game-changing investments," he said.

The government is supporting OPG's CAD2 billion (USD1.5 billion) budget for the initiation phase of the project, which will include engineering and design work as well as securing long-lead components to ensure materials are available when needed and to help keep costs down. OPG and its business partners will also identify potential Indigenous engagement opportunities in contracting, employment and other economic benefits related to the project, the government said...

...OPG is more than half-way through a CAD12.8 billion project to refurbish the four units at its Darlington plant, which is scheduled to be completed by the end of 2026. The "thousands" of lessons learned from that, and from Bruce Power's ongoing major project to refurbish six Candu units at its plant, are a "major advantage" to help ensure the project's success, OPG President and CEO Ken Hartwick said.

"Our experience refurbishing Darlington, a highly complex project that remains on time and on budget, will be invaluable as we begin the work necessary so Pickering can continue to help meet the growing electricity demands of this thriving province for another three-plus decades," he said...


CANDU reactors, heavy water reactors are my favorite kind of thermal reactors because their high neutron efficiency allows for thermal breeding, using the thorium-232/Uranium-233 cycle, ideally - in my view - with a plutonium initiator. This will allow for the essential scale up of nuclear power by creating fissionable material without the use of enrichment or mining, particularly with modern developments in the materials science of cladding, so called "accident resistant fuels."

The Pickering B reactors all were connected to the grid in the early to mid 1980s; the refurbishment should give them an overall lifetime of at least 70 years, perhaps longer.

This is good news for anyone concerned with climate change. Nuclear energy was a huge player in Ontario's successful campaign to phase out coal, and stands in direct opposition to Germany's decision to phase in coal while jawboning and issuing noncommittal excuses and soothsaying about a renewable energy nirvana that did not come, is not here, and won't come.
January 29, 2024

In my personal life, I call on things from Eleanor often.

Mostly it is "...you must do the thing you think you cannot do..." but there are many others, advice I repeat to others, "No one can make you feel inferior without your consent..." and so on...

These simple yet powerful aphorisms...

To me, she made Franklin, made him rise to greatness, and thus made the modern Democratic Party and thus made America great.

There's so much to her, going all the way back to her youth, her dismissive mother, her beloved but distant father who drank himself to death leaving her in unyielding grief, but still she was a child of privilege - her uncle, the President of the United States gave her away at her wedding to Franklin - and yet she never hesitated to go beyond privilege.

So much compassion, so much depth, so much wisdom, so much strength, so much decency and above all so much courage, it's all there.

"We shall not look upon her like again," to paraphrase Willie the Shake.

January 29, 2024

My wife and I went again to the "Temple" of Liberalism, a 2nd time.

It was to the first Presidential library, the Franklin Delano Roosevelt Library in New Hyde Park.

It was a rainy day, a little snow, after a wonderful afternoon yesterday in Beacon, NY, coffee, candy, a cool used book store where I bought a 1937 history of chemistry, a nice dinner, with a nice local music duet playing as entertainment.

We had a nice night together, my wife and I, a chance to be alone and to be in love.

We went last year at Christmas week, and felt we missed something. We went again, and still feel like we're missing so much.

I wept several times thinking of the America that FDR left us; and of course, prominent, right up front, the Greatest Democrat of them all, Eleanor, was a big part of the museum's displays.

If you can go there, do so. For any good liberal, it will be filled with deep meaning about our roots.

January 29, 2024

My son is giving his second scientific conference talk as first author.

He's a 2nd year graduate student.

His first talk, a month ago was well received apparently.

This one is on additive manufacture of radiation resistant alloys.

That little brat is sure showing up his old man.

I couldn't possibly be happier or prouder.

January 27, 2024

Nuclear Power to Recover from Fukushima Foolishness, On Track for New Records in 2025.

This note came in through one of my Nature Briefing News Feed emails: The link therein refers to the Financial Times of London, which is behind a firewall, but the excerpt points to a recent IEA report.

The IEA link is here: Electricity Reports Executive Summary, IEA

Excerpts:

By 2025, global nuclear generation is forecast to exceed its previous record set in 2021. Even as some countries phase out nuclear power or retire plants early, nuclear generation is forecast to grow by close to 3% per year on average through 2026 as maintenance works are completed within France, Japan restarts nuclear production at several power plants, and new reactors begin commercial operations in various markets, including China, India, Korea, and Europe. Many countries are making nuclear power a critical part of their energy strategies as they look to safeguard energy security while reducing greenhouse gas emissions. At the COP28 climate change conference that concluded in December 2023, more than 20 countries signed a joint declaration to triple nuclear power capacity by 2050. Achieving this goal will require tackling the key challenge of reducing construction and financing risks in the nuclear sector. Momentum is also growing behind small modular reactor (SMR) technology. The technology’s development and deployment remains modest and is not without its difficulties, but R&D is starting to pick up...


After Fukushima, where few, if any people died from radiation released in the natural disaster, came a period during which nuclear generation declined owing to a festival of ignorance and fear that killed people by driving climate change and air pollution.

There is a lot of the usual praise in the article for so called "renewable energy" which continues to soak up vast sums of money for no result in rates climate change. I have no use for the rhetoric, but in 2023, continuing into 2024, we are beginning to see the tragic results of this unsustainable affectation.

The growth of nuclear energy is not fast enough to save what is left to save and to restore that which can be restored, but I expect that the scales are falling off the eyes of humanity in general and antinukes are finally being seen for the absurd poor thinkers they've always been. In my opinion antinukes have killed a lot of people by their appeals to selective attention, fear, and ignorance, but it's nice to understand a recovery is on the way.

Tripling nuclear capacity is not enough. It needs to grow by one order of magnitude at least, and do so quickly. Hopefully that sinks in sooner rather than later.

Reality bites.

Have a nice weekend.

January 27, 2024

Material conflicts

From a book review in the current issue, as of this writing, of Science:

Material conflicts

Subtitle:

A journalist probes tensions surrounding two minerals that are key to green technologies


By Suleem H. Ali, Science 25 Jan 2024 Vol 383, Issue 6681 p. 374

Personally, as I make clear all the time, I object to the continued and commonly - almost universally - used locution applied to so called "renewable energy" as "green technologies." Nothing as land and material intensive as solar and wind energy coupled (at least in the minds of apologists) with battery/hydrogen fantasies that would exacerbate the material cost were they significant on scale, but for now largely coupled on expensive and destructive fossil fuel redundancy, should be regarded as sustainable or "green."

That's just me, the unknown dissident.

Excerpts:

The mineral anatomy of technology has become a fascination for scholars and journalists alike in recent years. Popular writings on the topic have also gained traction because of a rise in “resource nationalism” surrounding mining practices for metals critical for both defense purposes and green technologies. Adding to this canon, journalist Ernest Scheyder’s The War Below presents a fine-grained account of the environmental and social conflicts that permeate the landscape where two key minerals for the green energy transition—copper and lithium—are found. [For those interested, journalist Henry Sanderson’s recent book Volt Rush includes two additional minerals—cobalt and nickel—in its coverage (1).]

Scheyder’s choice of copper and lithium for his deep-dive analysis is partially determined by the field ethnography that he aims to provide of his travels to mining projects within the United States. These materials are at the forefront of critical mineral conflicts in the US. Although he also includes coverage of international projects, such as the Uyuni lithium fields of Bolivia, Scheyder’s storyline most acutely reveals the fault lines and contradictions of American critical minerals policy.

The book begins in the 1980s, with the discovery of a distinctive plant species in the Nevada wilderness—Eriogonum tiehmii, commonly known as Tiehm’s buckwheat. He interviews the discoverer of the species, botanist Jerry Tiehm, for the prologue of the book to understand the salience of such emblems of biodiversity. Four decades later, the species’ habitat is the battleground for the development of one of the United States’ most lucrative lithium deposits, and Tiehm’s buckwheat has become a saber for environmentalists and Native Americans in the fight against mining development.

In many ways, the past 40 years have been the most consequential period in the development of complex mineral supply chains for the transition to green energy technologies. We have come to understand the urgency of climate change during this period and to appreciate the need to find new means of energizing human civilization. Yet, as biologist Barry Commoner warned in one of his “laws of ecology,” “there is no such thing as a free lunch” in the Universe (2). The War Below successfully depicts why this aphorism is so apt for thinking about mineral resources. Even with recycling and circular economies, we must have enough stocks of metals to recycle. With lithium, which is flammable, there is also the challenge of transporting concentrated used material over long distances...


As for so called "renewable energy" and climate change; the cults of overwhelming enthusiasm for it, the money, the material, the industrialized wildernesses on land and sea squandered on it have failed to address climate change. It is getting worse faster. We're going to see concentrations of the dangerous fossil fuel waste in the planetary atmosphere this spring that will exceed 426 ppm, perhaps 427 ppm a little over 10 years after we first saw reading above 400 ppm.

No one now living will ever see the dangerous fossil fuel waste CO2 concentration fall below 400 ppm.

Have a nice weekend.
January 27, 2024

He continued, "People ask me, well, how did you deal with that? . . ."

University of Tennessee hosts inaugural NEDHO Diversity Panel

NEDHO is the Nuclear Engineering Department Heads Organization, and the article refers to work being done by its diversity committee.

The link refers to an event held at UT.

The Panelists: Invited to speak this year were Harold T. Conner, Dari Gabriel, and Jasmine Toy.

Conner has enjoyed a career of more than 55 years in nuclear energy. After being the first African American to earn a bachelor’s degree in chemical engineering from the University of Tennessee, he went on to hold high-level positions at Department of Energy sites across the United States. Now “retired,” he serves as a consultant for United Cleanup Oak Ridge (UCOR), a contractor specializing in nuclear deactivation and decommissioning, and for Strata-G, an Oak Ridge company that supports DOE projects...

...He talked about the stress that he experienced in college. “In those days, I had a huge afro. . . . You know, I had a bunch of hair, and I thought I was going to change the world. I got to college and I found out, hey, things are different here. . . . I'm thinking I'm cool. But then, after I started taking graphics and statistics and trig and the preparatory courses for starting my chemical engineering degree, the pressure mounted and it was like, where did the hair go? So it started falling out. Actually, it did fall out, at 18, I guess. But it grew back. I got my afro back, but there was the stress and strain of being this first little black boy in this University of Tennessee.”

He continued, “People ask me, well, how did you deal with that? . . . And the thing that I remember the most is the friends that I made, the instructors, all the people I collaborated with. You just learn to deal with it. People say, how was it? How did you make it? Well, like you're doing now, sitting around the room with people that you loved, relationships that you built, and doing things together. And so, I made it through that start...

...So, I had a chance to get that experience as a co-op student working at the Oak Ridge National Lab and the K-25 site in Oak Ridge...”

...Conner’s career took off after that. “I ended up working all around the country, and from this little black kid that integrated the University of Tennessee–Martin, to supervising and leading several thousand people in many parts of this country. The thing I would say to you as you consider engineering at the University of Tennessee and beyond is to be collaborative, work in teams regardless of nuclear or chemical or electrical, mechanical, biomolecular, molecular, whatever you choose, you will have to work as a team. Much like your family unit, much like your high school. When you get out into the industrial world, you will be uniquely part of the team...”


January 27, 2024

Pentagon Makes It Official: U.S. Industrial Decline Is Undermining National Defense

Pentagon Makes It Official: U.S. Industrial Decline Is Undermining National Defense

Forbes.

Some excerpts:

Earlier this month the Department of Defense released its first-ever National Defense Industrial Strategy, setting forth a framework for revitalizing the sinews of American economic strength most critical to military preparedness...

... The Biden strategy recommends many of the same steps, reflecting concern over industrial base weaknesses that became apparent during the global pandemic and subsequent efforts to support Ukraine’s military campaign against Russian invaders.

Both documents single out the sorry state of the U.S. commercial shipbuilding industry, which largely ceased to produce commercial oceangoing vessels even as the U.S. became heavily dependent on ocean transit for supplies of everything from pharmaceuticals to rare earths to digital devices...

...The pace of submarine production at the nation’s two nuclear shipyards is lagging due to workforce challenges and a fragile domestic supply chain that contains numerous “single points of failure...”

... Shipbuilding is a particularly egregious example of how Washington has allowed U.S. industrial strength to erode, but there are analogous challenges in every sector that produces industrial goods relevant to defense.

For instance, only one domestic smelter remains that produces aluminum of sufficient purity to build military aircraft, and planners discovered during the Iraq war that there was only one steel mill making plates suitable for armoring trucks...


I noticed this sort of thing during the Shanghai shutdown when two important instruments in our labs went down and both suppliers of the instruments informed me that they could not get chips to repair the instruments.

One of the companies that couldn't get chips was a spin-off of Hewlett Packard. I told my rep - who is by the way an very nice person who I like a great deal - "you people used to be Hewlett Packard and you can't get a circuit board in less than two months?"

Our industrial decline is connected with our rather odious cultural practice of valuing bean counters over engineers. It's just not on the right, by the way. If one discusses energy issues here in the Ennui and Excuses forum, one sees bean counting - and not particularly insightful or even remotely intelligent bean counting - riding roughshod over both decency and sustainability.

We need engineers, not MBA's, and we need a highly trained, efficient and productive work force, investments in people as opposed to "financial instruments."
January 27, 2024

Ingenuity Dies.

I apologize in advance; I just couldn't resist titling this post on a note in my Nature Briefing feed this way. What it's about:

First aircraft to fly on Mars dies — but leaves a legacy of science

Subtitle:

The record-setting Mars helicopter Ingenuity broke during a final, fatal flight.


Excerpt:

NASA’s Ingenuity helicopter, the first aircraft to fly on another world, has died. It perished on 18 January during its 72nd flight in Jezero Crater on Mars. Ingenuity was nearly three years old (if you count its time on the red planet).

The helicopter, a box-shaped drone with a pair of 1.2-metre-long carbon-fibre blades, was a trailblazer for interplanetary spacecraft. NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Pasadena, California, built it as a test to see whether powered flight was possible in the thin atmospheres of other worlds. It accompanied NASA’s Perseverance rover to Mars, where both landed in February 2021 and began studying Jezero.

“Ingenuity absolutely shattered our paradigm of exploration by introducing this new dimension of aerial mobility,” says Lori Glaze, head of NASA’s planetary sciences division in Washington DC.

Ingenuity was supposed to make only five flights and last about a month, but ultimately it traversed 17 kilometres of the red planet and flew for a total of nearly 129 minutes between 2021 and 2024. During its final journey, something fatal happened — perhaps the rotor blades striking the ground, NASA announced on 25 January. An image that the helicopter took of the ground after the flight ended shows the shadow of one of the blades, with at least one-quarter of it missing. The helicopter can still communicate with Earth, at least for now, but it will not fly again...


Plutonium powered...
January 27, 2024

Dana-Farber retractions: meet the blogger who spotted problems in dozens of cancer papers

From my Nature Briefing news feed:

Dana-Farber retractions: meet the blogger who spotted problems in dozens of cancer papers

Subtitle:

Nature talks to Sholto David about his process for flagging image manipulation and his tips for scientists under scrutiny.


I'm not sure if the news item is open source; hopefully it is. An excerpt:

The prestigious Dana-Farber Cancer Institute (DFCI) in Boston, Massachusetts, acknowledged this week that it would seek retractions for 6 papers and corrections for an additional 31 — some co-authored by DFCI chief executive Laurie Glimcher, chief operating officer William Hahn and several other prominent cancer researchers. The news came after scientific-image sleuth Sholto David posted his concerns about more than 50 manuscripts to a blog on 2 January.

In the papers, published in a range of journals including Blood, Cell and Nature Immunology, David found images from western blots — a common test for detecting proteins in biological samples — in which bands seemed to be spliced, stretched and copied and pasted. He also found images of mice duplicated across figures where they shouldn’t have been. (Nature’s news team is editorially independent of its publisher, Springer Nature, and of other Nature-branded journals.)

It was not the first time that some of these irregularities had been noted; some were flagged years ago on PubPeer, a website where researchers comment on and critique scientific papers. The student newspaper The Harvard Crimson reported on David’s findings on 12 January.

The DFCI, an affiliate of Harvard University, had already been investigating some of the papers in question before David’s blogpost was published, says the centre’s research-integrity officer, Barrett Rollins. “Correcting the scientific record is a common practice of institutions with strong research-integrity processes,” he adds. (Rollins is a co-author of three of the papers that David flagged and is not involved in investigations into them, says DFCI spokesperson Ellen Berlin.) The DFCI is declining requests for interviews with its researchers about the retractions.

David, based in Pontypridd, UK, spoke to Nature about how he uncovered the data irregularities at the DFCI and what scientists can do to prevent mix-ups in their own work...


There are still tons upon tons of Western Blots published and I was involved just yesterday in explaining to a client why Mass Spec, as expensive and sometimes challenging it is, should become the world standard for proteomic analysis, which, of course, is happening without any input from me. Yes, you can get something, even a lot, out of a Western Blot, but there are many ways to be fooled or to deliberately fool.

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