Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Quixote1818

Quixote1818's Journal
Quixote1818's Journal
February 7, 2020

Can a Democratic President take the Medal of Freedom away from the racist?

That would be extremely satisfying to see Trump's face if that could happen. Everyone knows it's ridiculous and offensive. It needs to be pulled even though Rush will likely be gone by then.

February 7, 2020

Poll: 62 percent say they will 'absolutely' vote in 2020 election

One thing that might happen this year is for those who thought Hillary had it in the bag will not take any chances this year.


A majority — 62 percent of registered — say are “absolutely certain” about taking part in November’s election, according to a new Hill-HarrisX poll released on Thursday.

The nationwide poll also showed that 23 percent were “very likely” to vote in the upcoming presidential election, while 9 percent said it is possible they will vote and just 6 percent who said that they were “not very likely” to participate.

Though strong majorities across party lines said they planned to vote, Democrats were slightly more likely to say that they were heading to the ballot box.

Of those surveyed, 68 percent of Democratic voters said they would vote in November, compared to 64 percent of GOP voters and 54 percent of independent voters.

More: https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/481867-poll-62-percent-of-americans-say-they-will-absolutely-vote-in-2020-election

February 6, 2020

If Republicans are this upset about someone ripping up a piece of paper, can you imagine how upset

they would be if Nancy had asked a foreign Gov to investigate Trump and she had withheld support until she got what she asked for?

February 6, 2020

We should be using clips from Reagan's budget director calling Trump an economic ignoramus

In this falls attack ads on Trump. He really makes Trump sound like a fool!

February 6, 2020

There's a 70% chance of recession in the next six months, new study from MIT and State Street finds

If it's going to come, PLEASE come by October!

PUBLISHED WED, FEB 5 202012:20 PM EST UPDATED WED, FEB 5 20204:13 PM EST
Pippa Stevens
@PIPPASTEVENS13

KEY POINTS
A new study from the MIT Sloan School of Management and State Street Associate says there’s a 70% chance that a recession will occur in the next six months.
The researchers used a scientific approach initially developed to measure human skulls to determine how the relationship of four factors compares to prior recessions.
The index currently stands at 76%. Looking at data back to 1916, the researchers found that once the index topped 70%, the likelihood of a recession rose to 70%.

There’s a 70% chance that a recession will hit in the next six months, according to new research from the MIT Sloan School of Management and State Street Associates.

The researchers created an index comprised of four factors and then used the Mahalanobis distance — a measure initially used to analyze human skulls — to determine how current market conditions compare to prior recessions.

“The Mahalanobis distance was originally conceived to measure the statistical similarity of the values of a set of dimensions for a given skull to the average values of those dimensions for a chosen group of skulls,” the researchers explained.

It measures the distance between a point and a certain distribution.

Using this principle, the researchers analyzed four market factors — industrial production, nonfarm payrolls, stock market return and the slope of the yield curve — on a monthly basis. They then measured how the current relationship between the four metrics compares to historical readings.



More: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/05/70percent-chance-of-recession-in-next-six-months-study-from-mit-and-state-street-finds.html

February 6, 2020

Poll: 57% of Pennsylvania voters oppose Trump re-election

JEFF HAWKES | Staff Writer Feb 3, 2020

Nearly three out of five Pennsylvania voters don’t believe President Donald Trump deserves re-election, a finding in a new Franklin & Marshall College poll that suggests he has work to do to win the state a second time.

But the poll offered some good news for the embattled president as those favoring re-election grew to 41%, up from 37% in October.

“At the moment (Trump) would have a tough time winning the state, but I’m not prepared to rule it out,” said G. Terry Madonna, a pollster and analyst at F&M’s Center for Politics and Public Affairs.

“He’s improved slightly over where he was in October. That’s true nationally as he rallies Republicans around him in a very strong and decisive way” during the impeachment fight, Madonna said.

The survey found that 57% believe he doesn’t deserve reelection, down from 59% in October and 61% in July.

More: https://lancasteronline.com/news/politics/f-m-poll-of-pennsylvania-voters-oppose-trump-re-election/article_9fe8187a-42de-11ea-9225-475f7890b0aa.html

PA is also expected to be in recession this year: https://www.wilx.com/content/news/9-States-at-risk-of-recession-in-2020-567168691.html

February 5, 2020

Romney has a lot of influence on Mormons

In a tight race a few thousand Mormons in some states may make the difference.

Profile Information

Gender: Do not display
Hometown: New Mexico
Member since: Mon Dec 1, 2003, 03:42 PM
Number of posts: 28,930
Latest Discussions»Quixote1818's Journal