ChairmanAgnostic
ChairmanAgnostic's JournalThe guiding principles of Donald Trump:
Primacy
Recency
GIGO
Primacy:
This is the tendency for the first items presented in a series to be remembered better or more easily, or for them to be more influential than those presented later in the series. If you hear a long list of words, it is more likely that you will remember the words you heard first (at the beginning of the list) than words that occurred in the middle. This is the primacy effect.
Read more: http://www.alleydog.com/glossary/definition.php?term=Primacy%20Effect#ixzz4EluFILza
Recency:
This is the principle that the most recently presented items or experiences will most likely be remembered best. If you hear a long list of words, it is more likely that you will remember the words you heard last (at the end of the list) than words that occurred in the middle. This is the recency effect.
Read more: http://www.alleydog.com/glossary/definition.php?term=Recency%20Effect#ixzz4EluRGzNB
GIGO:
It was popular in the early days of computing, but applies even more today, when powerful computers can produce large amounts of erroneous information in a short time. The first use of the term has been dated to a November 10, 1957, syndicated newspaper article about US Army mathematicians and their work with early computers,[1] in which an Army Specialist named William D. Mellin explained that computers cannot think for themselves, and that "sloppily programmed" inputs inevitably lead to incorrect outputs. The underlying principle was noted by the inventor of the first programmable computing device design:
On two occasions I have been asked, "Pray, Mr. Babbage, if you put into the machine wrong figures, will the right answers come out?" ... I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question.
—?Charles Babbage, Passages from the Life of a Philosopher[2]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Garbage_in,_garbage_out
Imagine what this means for a Trump presidency.
Today, we have confirmation that Trump does not read. Much like Peter Sellers in Being There, he watches "the shows." That is how he gets all of his information. A serious student of policy, politics, or history he is not. He thinks not with his brain, but with his gut.
This means that the loudest, freshest, and first voice and opinion that he hears will be one that he follows a good deal of the time (primacy). It also means that the last person to get his attention and keep it long enough to get hat person's point across is also more likely to impact what Trump does.
Lastly, given his disdain for study, his lack of experience in politics and administration, his short hours of sleep (reportedly less than 4 hours a day), and his limited attention span, GIGO will clearly apply.
As Babbage pointed out, "I am not able rightly to apprehend the kind of confusion of ideas that could provoke such a question," we can be sure that the information that Trump received and comprehends will consist mainly of garbage. Regardless of how he processes that data, the only conclusion that is possible is that the output from Trump will also be garbage. Combined with the arrogance of a nut who believes he and only he is correct, and that his gut instinct is far better than any brainiac's analysis and rational thinking, this means that his presidency will be a disaster.
What is even more unfortunate is that this kind of base level approach appeals greatly to those who are uneducated, unread, hate thinking (and who think teaching "critical thinking" is a sin), and who never read, be it a book, a newspaper, or a magazine. His most common reaction to any slight, perceived or real, is to strike out . . . and there is where his real talent lies. He has an uncanny ability to find the weakness of his target and exploit it. That is the only reason that he decimated the GOP nominees with such dispatch and speed. He not only did not play by the rules, he threw the rule book away.
Interestingly, such tactics only work for him. Christie tried, and he paid the price. Rubio tried, and he now looks like a pathetic loser. Romney almost tried, but realized that he was out of his league.
In fact, of all the politicans who have faced up to him, only Elizabeth Warren has found the means to spoil his attack, and take full aim at him. Glad she is on our side.
Mike Pence - the new Dan Quayle.
Here are a few of the doozies that escaped Danny boy's mouth.
If we do not succeed, then we run the risk of failure.
For NASA, space is still a high priority.
Republicans have been accused of abandoning the poor. It's the other
way around. They never vote for us.
Republicans understand the importance of bondage between a mother and child.
What a terrible thing to have lost one's mind. Or not to have a mind
at all. How true that is.
Here are some of Pence's:
"To date, embryonic stem cell research has not produced a single medical treatment, where ethical, adult stem cell research has produced some 67 medical miracles.
"Sadly, embryonic stem cell research is completely legal in this country and has been going on at universities and research facilities for years."
“I’m a Christian, a conservative and a Republican … in that order."
“I was tea party before it was cool.”
Dan, you have been replaced.
we wuz had.
By some media accounts, The Great Orange Hairpiece has been under the control of his handlers and has deliberately kept a low profile. By low profile (Trumpian standards) this means:
a. Trump demands that Ruth Bader Ginsburg be removed from the Supreme Court because she dissed Teh Donald.
b. Trump claims that he saw somewhen, somewhere, somehow, a call for a moment of silence for the slain gunman in Dallas.
c. Hillary created ISIS.
d. Trump claims that he is the Law and Order candidate, mimicking Nixon from years past.
e. To top it off, the man who spearheaded the Birther conspiracy against Obama, now claims that Obama has made race relations worse in the country.
And that was just this week, folks.
Today, the news broke that Trump will be announcing his running mate on Friday. While it seems to be good news for that walking, talking mindless robot from Indiana, Mike Pence, (who must announce his candidacy for re-election as governor of Indiana by Friday) I do not believe that Trump will choose him.
Rather, just like he played several GOP candidates (Chrissie Christie, for one) and got them to lick his boots in public, I think Trump is playing Pence and the media. Again. He is going to choose someone so crazy, so bizarre as a choice, so unsuitable, that the GOP will have no option but to boot him out of the convention. His daughter? His son? Marla Maples? Ivana?
Whoever his choice will be, it will be a guaranteed media splash, another opportunity for Trump to rub it in the faces of everyone.
Trump is not running for president. He is running for Trump. I do not believe he will last out the month as a candidate.
What is Hillary's campaign doing?
According to TPM, Her lead is down to 3 points. Against a crazy narcissist like trump! All this playing it safe, plodding along, refusal to take risks or make new policies - that was fine for a primary battle, but not for the general. She is not taking major steps to attract voters, especially the youth or former Bernie supporters. That is not a good sign.
I hope folks realize she can still lose this thing.
My nachtmare? Trump quits and is replaced by someone far less repulsive.
Which Shakespearean title best describes how the GOP will treat Hillary?
I vote for the Tempest.
Double Falsehood or Measure for Measure might work.
We best get used to it. If you think that Obama had it bad during his eight years, (in which every effort to reach cross the aisle was met with an axe) you haven't witlessed anything yet. By comparison, the GOP of Bill Clinton's day was empathic, warm, cuddly, and loving.
What they have done to Obama was just minor league practice compared to how they will treat Hillary. The poutrage currently on display against Comey and Hillary (not to mention Loretta Lynch - thanks again, Bill) is just warming up.
While she was not my first choice, there really is no comparison when we face a potential Trumpenstein presi-duncy. But one word of caution and warning. The general public will be swayed and pushed, pulled, punched, and gobsmacked by the attacks against her, even before she takes office, and it will only continue and grow as the weeks and months drag on. Congress will accomplish nothing, especially if the GOP and Tea Party still maintain control. They will be too busy plotting impeachments, investigations, special committees and hiring special prosecutors.
For her entire term in office.
Chilcot's real tragedy?
It shows how inept the US press was, and how well the post 9/11 coverup worked, the lack of any actual inquiry, including any rational, "Professional" investigation of the horrible decision to invade Iraq.
Congress failed, the military failed, our media failed. And now Iraq is a failed state and home base for ISIS.
Bald eagles returning to Virginia. Those poor birds.
Imagine going through life being bald. Maybe we could fix them up with trumpian feather coverings for their heads?
Profile Information
Name: RakGender: Do not display
Hometown: Illinois
Home country: USA
Member since: Wed Jul 13, 2005, 07:56 PM
Number of posts: 28,017
