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Quixote1818's Journal
Quixote1818's Journal
November 29, 2016

With unemployment under 5% Trump is starting from a very rough position for him

Chances are unemployment will be higher during the next couple of elections especially since a recession is anticipated while he is in office. Recessions are bad news but if Hillary had been in she would have been blamed and we might have lost more house and senate seats. With Trump in office Democrats could do quite well in 2018 and 2020 depending on the timing of any pending recession. http://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/2016-11-10/5-reasons-donald-trumps-presidency-will-include-a-recession

November 8, 2016

I think all hell will break loose between Republicans tomorrow after Trump loses soundly

We keep thinking the insane Trump idiots are going to freak out on the left and the media and I am sure they will but I think they will be shouted down by the more "moderate" forces of the Republican Party. They have been holding their tongues and welling up with rage over the idiot who took over THEIR party and once he loses and looks like a fucking loser idiot they are going to come out in force, loud as shit! There may be some pockets of violence but that will only make things worse. The Romney, Bush, McCain wing of the Party is going to want to take control back and they will be telling the deplorable that they are nothing but fuck ups and should now shut the hell up! They are so dumb it could start more of a civil war between Republicans. Who knows, maybe a complete split? It should be entertaining to watch.

November 8, 2016

PROPHECY: "Trump Will Win Predicted By Bible Codes"

Uh oh! We're in trouble!

November 7, 2016

I keep hearing Black or Hispanic votes are up but what about white votes?

If they are up too then it could be a wash, though I think white women will cross over a lot more this cycle than during the last one. Is there any data on this someone can share? If the nut-burgers are so riled up they want an armed revolution I am guessing they are pretty motivated too. Lets just hope its a small segment that is that motivated.

The data that does look very positive is the high number of Dems coming out and if black and Hispanics are coming out at a higher % increase than whites then we should be in good shape.

November 7, 2016

Edward Snowden Debunks Latest Trump Conspiracy In 1 Tweet

General Flynn ✔ @GenFlynn
There R 691,200 seconds in 8 days. DIR Comey has thoroughly reviewed 650,000 emails in 8 days? An email / second? IMPOSSIBLE RT
3:29 PM - 6 Nov 2016
7,375 7,375 Retweets 6,832 6,832 likes
General Flynn ✔ @GenFlynn
It took 1 year to review 60K and 8 days to review 650K? Smart machines or not, something does not jive. Thoughts?
3:42 PM - 6 Nov 2016
6,240 6,240 Retweets 8,120 8,120 likes
Leaving aside the false assumption that j

Edward Snowden ✔ @Snowden
@jeffjarvis Drop non-responsive To:/CC:/BCC:, hash both sets, then subtract those that match. Old laptops could do it in minutes-to-hours.
6:19 PM - 6 Nov 2016
510 510 Retweets 795 795 likes
If Snowden is correct, the real question isn’t


November 5, 2016

Some betting sites now say Nevada has a 92% chance of going Blue

That means it has a better chance of going blue than even Pennsylvania. She wins Nevada and it's over.

92% chance: http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-winner

Price is 81 cents and rising at Predict-it: https://www.predictit.org/Market/2114/Which-party-will-win-Nevada-in-the-2016-presidential-election

November 5, 2016

Any ideas why Alaska is 13 points better for Dems this election cycle?

Polling this time 4 years ago had Obama trailing by 13 points. Hillary is trailing by 2 points with some polls even showing her ahead. What is causing some western states to move so much to the left? I get Utah and Idaho's movement because of the high Mormon population but I don't get what is going on in Alaska which has a very high male population.

Any ideas what is causing this?

On edit, I just found this article: https://www.adn.com/commentary/article/alaska-becoming-presidential-swing-state/2012/12/07/

Migration from liberal states is part of the reason:

Migration into Alaska (2000-2010) = 282,229
From states Obama won = 162,439
From states Romney won = 119,790

1. Washington = 28,042
2. California = 26,737
3. Texas = 22,660

So, here's the breakdown ....
2000: Gore lost by 31 points.
2004: Kerry lost by 25 points.
2008: Obama lost by 22 points.
2012: Obama lost by 14 points.

November 5, 2016

Interesting stats on Hispanic polling in Florida

The poll was from August 3rd but I don't see that there has been any kind of big shift in Hispanic voters since then.

Trump at 13% among FL Latinos! Had Romney gotten that—he'd have lost FL by 9% instead of 1%
Bush '04? -10%, not +3%

Not only that, Hispanics are coming out in record numbers.


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Hometown: New Mexico
Member since: Mon Dec 1, 2003, 02:42 PM
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