RandySF
RandySF's JournalPrediction: Trump will win Wisconsin and drive a stake in the hearts of the RNC
Wisconsin is not the nice state it used to be and WI Republicans are exactly the nasty types who would vote for Trump. But Cruz and the RNC will make their last stand but those Fox Valley neanderthals that put Scott Walker over the top will do the same for the Strongman. And that will shatter the will of the Republican establishment and send Cruz off with his tail between his legs.
Congratulations to Bernie on his wins in ID and UT
And congratulations to state Democrats on their huge turnout.
I'm watching the VERY downbeat look on the Cruz crony's face.
He must realize the fat lady is singing for his old boss.
God help me we signed the kid up for AAU basketball
The Amatuer Athletic Union, home of hothead coaches and parents looking to turn their precious ones into trophies. But, my spawn insists he can take the heat, so here we go.
My 10-year old is cheering for Bernie.
He even made us keep the tv on when Sanders won Michigan. I think he's just trying to annoy me. 
My final prediction for tonight
Hillary wins AZ by a sizable-enough margin to zero out Bernie's wins in UT and ID making tonight a wash.
Trump takes all 58 delegates in AZ expanding his lead over Cruz, who will win Utah.
I empathize with Hillary and Jane Sandrrs' coughing fits
I came down with a nasty respiratory infection last week and still can't kick this cough. What's worse is the coughing fit that comes when the throat gets irritated. It's both embarrassing and helpless-feeling and they talk all day.
538: Primary Turnout Means Nothing For The General Election
But Democrats shouldn’t worry. Republicans shouldn’t celebrate. As others have pointed out, voter turnout is an indication of the competitiveness of a primary contest, not of what will happen in the general election. The GOP presidential primary is more competitive than the Democratic race.
Indeed, history suggests that there is no relationship between primary turnout and the general election outcome. You can see this on the most basic level by looking at raw turnout in years in which both parties had competitive primaries. There have been six of those years in the modern era: 1976, 1980, 1988, 1992, 2000 and 2008......
In five of the six years in our data set, the party that had a smaller vote share margin between its nominee and runner-up — that is, the one with the more competitive contest — had higher turnout. Indeed, the difference in margin for the two winners and the difference in raw turnout for each party had a fairly high correlation of -0.81. The only year in which turnout was higher in the less competitive primary was in 1976, when Jimmy Carter won just 40 percent of the primary vote and had serious competitors until the end of the primary calendar. Both sides were quite competitive that year.
So it shouldn’t be surprising that Republican turnout is higher than Democratic turnout this year. Hillary Clinton is a commanding front-runner on the Democratic side, while the front-runner on the Republican side has earned only one-third of the vote and less than half the delegates allocated so far. Voters are turning out for the more competitive contest.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/primary-turnout-means-nothing-for-the-general-election/
Trump headed for big win in Arizona.
A new Opinion Savvy poll in Arizona finds Donald Trump leading the GOP primary race with 46%, followed by Ted Cruz at 33% and John Kasich at 17%.
https://politicalwire.com/2016/03/21/trump-leads-in-arizona/
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Gender: MaleHometown: Detroit Area, MI
Home country: USA
Current location: San Francisco, CA
Member since: Wed Oct 29, 2008, 02:53 PM
Number of posts: 58,799
