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TMontoya

TMontoya's Journal
TMontoya's Journal
April 10, 2016

Primary model for NY

Looking real good for Hillary! Except i have her winning Manhattan. Overall seems pretty accurate and within the current trend.

http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/2016/04/new-york-final-county-benchmarks.html

April 10, 2016

A prediction model for NY

According to this Hillary pretty much blows him out. What do you guys think?

http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/2016/04/new-york-final-county-benchmarks.html

April 9, 2016

WaPo: Panama Papers prove Sanders wrong

Could this be another blunder by the Sanders campaign? Their inability to do research and have any sort of substance is becoming increasingly clear. Once again Sanders caught in a baseless smear of Hillary.

SUDDENLY, AND quite improbably, free trade between the United States and tiny Panama is the hot issue on the Democratic side of the presidential campaign, with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) calling an Obama administration-backed tariff-slashing pact that took effect four years ago “a disaster.” His complaint is not the usual one about job-killing trade deals; after all, the United States has a multibillion-dollar trade surplus with Panama, just as it did before the pact. This time, Mr. Sanders blames the trade deal for Panama’s allegedly booming offshore banking business for wealthy international tax-avoiders, which has just been exposed in leaked records known as the Panama Papers.

“I predicted that the passage of this disastrous trade deal would make it easier, not harder, for the wealthy and large corporations to evade taxes by sheltering billions of dollars offshore,” Mr. Sanders said in a news release. “I wish I had been proven wrong about this, but it has now come to light that the extent of Panama’s tax avoidance scams is even worse than I had feared.” Quite a contrast, he says, with Hillary Clinton, who helped push the deal through Congress as Mr. Obama’s secretary of state.

The evidence, however, suggests that the truth is pretty nearly the opposite of what Mr. Sanders claims — and our source for that is the Panama Papers themselves.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/the-panama-papers-prove-mr-sanders-was-wrong-about-a-trade-pact-with-panama/2016/04/08/31f43106-fdae-11e5-80e4-c381214de1a3_story.html
April 9, 2016

Feeling of the primary in NJ

Being from NJ we rarely ever have any impact of the nominee since we usually go last (except for 2008). Around my area Democrats are in support of Clinton. Most don't mind Sanders but find his proposals to be "pie in the sky" as well as too expensive for the working middle class. NJ will be happy to award a majority of its 100+ (can't recall the exact number) to Secretary Clinton!

April 8, 2016

Good week for Hillary

Despite her WI loss (which wasnt exactly a "win" for Bernie) she has come out swinging and finally the kid gloves are coming off. In the span of three days Bernie has a trainwreck of an interview, is called out for saying Hillary is unqualified, and of course got caught pretending to be a "native New Yorker". Hillary is in great position to pick up a solid win in NY likely knocking Sanders out of legitimate contention. I suspect the debate will be like the others, Sanders repeating his one single talking point no matter the issue, and Hillary offering pragmatic solutions to this nations problems. Though I also suspect Sanders sensing its now sudden death for him will go hard at Clinton which will backfire. He will tow the usual Berniebot talking points while throwing in some nasty jabs. Exposing him as a hot tempered ill-equipped candidate.

Final realistic NY prediction?

Hillary 58-42

April 7, 2016

NYDN interview is really hurting Sanders

This is now national news and the media as well as voters are not happy with Bernie's disaster of an interview. For a single issue candidate he sure doesn't seem to have any real solutions on how to accomplish his single issue. Let alone being completely out of his league on foreign policy. NY is certainly not pleased with his interview and this is likely to really hurt him there. And at a time where he cannot afford to lose a single primary its looking like he will lose by a landslide.

April 7, 2016

September trial for Bundy ranch standoff

Well looks like these traitors will be spending a long time in prison after they are convicted. Good riddance to these dangerous extremists.

ORTLAND, Ore. (AP) — The federal judge overseeing Oregon's wildlife refuge standoff case scheduled a September trial on Wednesday and reinforced her decision to send Ammon and Ryan Bundy to Nevada next week for a court appearance.

U.S. District Court Judge Anna Brown made those decisions during a testy hearing in which she repeatedly admonished lawyers for making repetitive points and threatened to remove one of the defendants from the court.


http://www.usnews.com/news/us/articles/2016-04-06/judge-sets-september-trial-in-oregon-refuge-standoff-case
April 7, 2016

How will Hillary pounce on the botched Bernie interview?

Sanders really exposed his glaring weakness during the interview, substance. Not only could he not answer questions pertaining to foreign policy (which is what exactly?) he couldn't even say how he would get his fantasy legislation through congress. No details just the same old tired rah rah stump speech.

I believe the Clinton campaign will hit him hard with this, the question is will she wait for the debate to expose him or do it now? I personally think she should begin attacking his lack of substance now and then at the debate present her plan (as she has been doing) against Bernie's fantasy legislation.

April 6, 2016

Facts are facts math is math

It boggles my mind how the Bernie bots cannot understand these simple concepts? If this were a football game Clinton would be winning 56-14 with 7 minutes to go in the 4th quarter. I suspect NY will have them clawing at their screens and TVs when Clinton takes it. Then just be ready for the onslaught of butthurt...Because as well all know its only fair when Sanders wins.

April 6, 2016

When Bernie loses NY

Will people here being screaming about "fraud" because some random independents on the internet whine about their "registration" being changed? Oh and when he loses NY he then would need to win every single remaining state by 65% or more.

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